TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Patrik Jokiel 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911811––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Patrik Jokiel below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 63.2%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 5–10 Patrik Jokiel Jaroslav Sindler has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5863.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Jokiel
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1457 vs Jokiel 1352
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 80% vs Jokiel 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 70% vs Jokiel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +1 · Jokiel +3
Jokiel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Sindler) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.533 / Jokiel 2.375
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Jokiel)-5.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13229897
Sindler1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 144 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it69% 92 of 133
Jokiel2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 28)
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 73 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back36% 28 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler4wins
AwayJokiel6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJokiel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler60%3 of 5
AwayJokiel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S2Sindler5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S3Sindler4Jokiel6n = 10Jokiel took 6 of 10
S4Sindler2Jokiel5n = 7Jokiel took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerJokielS − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.139.1−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 832 vs 219 / 47752.2%45.9%434 / 832 vs 219 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.53/Jokiel 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 06:10J. Sindler258980P. Jokiel331111113
WSep 17 · 06:40J. Sindler331111113P. Jokiel198470
LAug 21 · 11:10J. Sindler27821161P. Jokiel4011117113
LAug 19 · 16:54J. Sindler175570P. Jokiel331111113
WAug 19 · 13:40J. Sindler4361313113P. Jokiel4211111191
LAug 17 · 16:49J. Sindler337111231P. Jokiel4011414113
LAug 17 · 15:15J. Sindler53131681062P. Jokiel5911141112113
WAug 15 · 07:45J. Sindler45127114113P. Jokiel43101171142
WAug 9 · 07:40J. Sindler4111136113P. Jokiel377111181
LJul 5 · 12:40J. Sindler4411810151P. Jokiel4551112173
J. Sindler10
LOct 2 · 07:40P. Chlad1.36411511113J. Sindler3.0011611872LOct 2 · 07:10J. Matus2.0091111113J. Sindler1.73119691WSep 29 · 17:13M. Lorenc1.61410190J. Sindler2.201112213LSep 29 · 16:10J. Sindler2.00812951M. Lorenc1.73111011113WSep 29 · 14:40M. Janik1.675590J. Sindler2.101111113WSep 29 · 14:10O. Skvor1.807115111J. Sindler1.9111611133WSep 29 · 12:45J. Sindler1.4061111113M. Kliment2.75118631LSep 29 · 12:15J. Sindler1.67791141O. Vaclahovsky2.1011119113LSep 29 · 10:45A. Drozd1.731111113J. Sindler2.008680WSep 29 · 10:15M. Kliment2.00711661J. Sindler1.7311911113
P. Jokiel10
LOct 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.50101111113P. Jokiel2.50129661WSep 28 · 09:24P. Jokiel1.7311115123O. Coufal2.009711101WSep 28 · 08:15P. Jokiel1.67115124113P. Chvojka2.10911101152WSep 28 · 06:45O. Coufal1.916460P. Jokiel1.801111113LSep 28 · 06:15P. Chlad1.5031112113P. Jokiel2.501121041WSep 26 · 21:20J. Przybyla1.5711115682P. Jokiel2.25721111113WSep 26 · 20:15J. Vanous2.20781141P. Jokiel1.6111119113LSep 26 · 19:15P. Jokiel1.9131111752J. Przybyla1.80119811113LSep 26 · 17:45K. Zeman1.73101112113P. Jokiel2.001291091LSep 24 · 21:10T. Ogrocki1.5061211113P. Jokiel2.501110491
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