TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Minda vs Rafal Stapor 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119611113911
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
511119611113911
H2H Michal Minda 20–16 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Minda beat Stapor 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.85 / Stapor 1.80
TT Elite Series · #13227962
Minda1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As underdog39% won 133 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back24% 49 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 102
Stapor1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite62% won 371 of 600
Up 2–0, closes it96% 191 of 200
Up 1–0, closes it80% 286 of 359
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMinda8wins
AwayStapor2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda77.8%7 of 9
AwayStaporn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda9Stapor1n = 10Minda took 9 of 10
S2Minda5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Minda7Stapor3n = 10Minda took 7 of 10
S4Minda4Stapor4n = 8split evenly
S5Minda2Stapor1n = 3Minda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMindaStaporM − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.334.2+6.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime1016 / 1979 vs 713 / 126451.3%56.4%1016 / 1979 vs 713 / 1264Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.85/Stapor 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 08:35M. Minda44113118113R. Stapor3971121182
WSep 30 · 09:00M. Minda3711411113R. Stapor28711731
WSep 23 · 13:30M. Minda331111113R. Stapor162590
LSep 20 · 13:20M. Minda37178841R. Stapor48151111113
WSep 20 · 06:30M. Minda3961111113R. Stapor29116931
WSep 17 · 10:35M. Minda5511111210113R. Stapor49713101272
LSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda46111171072R. Stapor52991112113
WAug 26 · 12:15M. Minda4111118113R. Stapor27291151
WAug 21 · 11:00M. Minda3811511113R. Stapor34811691
WAug 20 · 09:00M. Minda331111113R. Stapor202990
M. Minda10
LOct 1 · 11:25M. Minda2.00511591J. Zochniak1.7011811113LOct 1 · 10:10D. Kosmal1.60411115113M. Minda2.2011471192LOct 1 · 09:25M. Minda2.00116911102B. Czerwinski1.72511119123WOct 1 · 08:35M. Minda1.80113118113R. Stapor1.8571121182WOct 1 · 07:00M. Minda1.3711611123M. Lukaszewski2.707119101LOct 1 · 06:00M. Minda1.909813131M. Kukawka1.80111111153LOct 1 · 04:10M. Minda1.331B. Warpas2.953WOct 1 · 03:00M. Minda1.6511115113K. Sulkowski2.10991191WSep 30 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.858660M. Minda1.851111113LSep 30 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.68131199133M. Minda2.051191111112
R. Stapor10
WOct 1 · 11:50D. Kosmal1.7671191162R. Stapor1.96119119113LOct 1 · 11:00R. Stapor2.659770B. Czerwinski1.401111113WOct 1 · 09:50R. Stapor1.6314131112113A. Mugowski2.151215131082LOct 1 · 08:35M. Minda1.80113118113R. Stapor1.8571121182WOct 1 · 07:20R. Stapor1.46111111113K. Sulkowski2.55651361WOct 1 · 06:20M. Lukaszewski2.851110651R. Stapor1.3531211113WOct 1 · 04:55M. Kukawka1.55129611122R. Stapor2.251011114143WOct 1 · 03:25B. Warpas2.6591550R. Stapor1.421117113LSep 30 · 14:40R. Stapor3.001J. Zochniak1.353LSep 30 · 13:05R. Stapor2.5281141142M. Kolek1.47115117113
Upcoming Matches
M. Minda
Nothing scheduled
R. Stapor
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.