TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Kurek vs Marian Lebek 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210119511811116
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1210119511811116
H2H Pawel Kurek 6–9 Marian Lebek Pawel Kurek has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Kurek beat Lebek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.00 / Lebek 1.70
TT Elite Series · #13225788
Kurek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 133 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 105
Lebek1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 242 of 390
Up 2–0, closes it96% 163 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it82% 215 of 262
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurek5wins
AwayLebek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek100%4 of 4
AwayLebek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S2Kurek5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurek6Lebek4n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S4Kurek4Lebek2n = 6Kurek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurekLebekK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.833.2+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 899 vs 863 / 148250.8%58.2%457 / 899 vs 863 / 1482Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LebekKurek 2.00/Lebek 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 21:10P. Kurek331111113M. Lebek218580
LSep 29 · 22:00P. Kurek32681171M. Lebek4111118113
LSep 23 · 00:25P. Kurek3831171162M. Lebek49118118113
WSep 18 · 08:00P. Kurek331111113M. Lebek186660
LAug 28 · 03:35P. Kurek33613861M. Lebek44111111113
WAug 27 · 03:10P. Kurek4111811113M. Lebek25511361
LAug 26 · 22:50P. Kurek301010100M. Lebek361212123
LAug 19 · 07:35P. Kurek187740M. Lebek331111113
WAug 19 · 02:45P. Kurek4111811113M. Lebek33811951
WJul 9 · 23:10P. Kurek3961111113M. Lebek32119571
P. Kurek10
WOct 1 · 04:00M. Jozefiak1.93712120P. Kurek1.781114143WOct 1 · 02:45P. Kurek1.569111110123A. Burkacki2.29115712102WOct 1 · 01:10P. Kurek1.54861111113O. Sokolowski2.3511117532LOct 1 · 00:00P. Kurek1.77851131M. Jozefiak1.9311118113WSep 30 · 22:25P. Kurek1.8011125113L. Oracz1.906101181WSep 30 · 21:10P. Kurek2.251111113M. Lebek1.558580WSep 30 · 02:00M. Adamus2.05941181P. Kurek1.6811119113WSep 30 · 01:10P. Adamus1.757770P. Kurek1.951111113LSep 30 · 00:25P. Kurek1.5093100O. Sokolowski2.351111123LSep 29 · 22:50P. Kurek2.40631171M. Tkocz1.5011119113
M. Lebek10
WOct 1 · 03:10O. Sokolowski1.953580M. Lebek1.751111113LOct 1 · 02:20M. Jozefiak1.909121111113M. Lebek1.75111013572LOct 1 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.901112123M. Lebek1.35510100WSep 30 · 23:35L. Oracz2.60811771M. Lebek1.4211611113LSep 30 · 22:50O. Sokolowski2.1511119133M. Lebek1.606911111LSep 30 · 21:10P. Kurek2.251111113M. Lebek1.558580WSep 30 · 08:00P. Adamus2.10571161M. Lebek1.6511118113WSep 30 · 07:10M. Cesarz5.4010151151M. Lebek1.1012177113WSep 30 · 06:25M. Lebek2.20118118113M. Guzik1.5781181132LSep 30 · 04:50M. Lebek1.3211750J. Kaczmarek3.051311113
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