TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Rus vs Witold Buczynski · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 17:05Scheduled
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Head to head
9 – 6
All 15 meetings · 60.0%
Last 10 · 6–4Same side
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 8h before this match
Buczynski beat Rus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 1.90 / Buczynski 1.75
TT Elite Series · #13223206
Rus1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 73 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Buczynski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 43 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it61% 33 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus6wins
AwayBuczynski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus50%3 of 6
AwayBuczynski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus6Buczynski4n = 10Rus took 6 of 10
S2Rus5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rus6Buczynski4n = 10Rus took 6 of 10
S4Rus5Buczynski3n = 8Rus took 5 of 8
S5Rus2Buczynski3n = 5Buczynski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusBuczynskiR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.9+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 425 vs 457 / 115131.8%39.7%135 / 425 vs 457 / 1151Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 08:45M. Rus511191011102W. Buczynski48711126123
LSep 9 · 15:30M. Rus217950W. Buczynski331111113
WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus3961111113W. Buczynski36118981
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus331111113W. Buczynski247890
WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus3741111113W. Buczynski31115871
WJun 9 · 14:20M. Rus3712311113W. Buczynski361011871
WJun 9 · 06:20M. Rus43411116113W. Buczynski4311871162
LMay 12 · 16:40M. Rus531111111192W. Buczynski51513913113
LMay 12 · 10:40M. Rus4311117952W. Buczynski47681111113
WApr 14 · 12:20M. Rus48127513113W. Buczynski501011111172
M. Rus10
LSep 30 · 15:30M. Rus2.50911914102R. Gajda1.451161112123LSep 30 · 14:20M. Rus2.2061180B. Madej1.571113113LSep 30 · 12:45M. Rus3.108360K. Schaniel1.321111113LSep 30 · 11:30M. Rus2.191169111M. Sikon1.6181111133WSep 30 · 10:20K. Schaniel1.5011911792M. Rus2.35911611113LSep 30 · 09:30R. Gajda1.401111148113M. Rus2.7529161182LSep 30 · 08:45M. Rus2.201191011102W. Buczynski1.57711126123WSep 30 · 07:10M. Rus2.5291111123M. Sikon1.401186101LSep 30 · 06:20B. Madej1.80771111113M. Rus1.9011117672LSep 23 · 17:05M. Rus2.801171011102O. Vincenec1.37611127123
W. Buczynski10
LSep 30 · 15:55W. Buczynski2.4088111162M. Sikon1.50111179113WSep 30 · 14:45R. Gajda1.80119471W. Buczynski1.9081111113LSep 30 · 13:30B. Madej2.1591111113W. Buczynski1.62119781LSep 30 · 11:55K. Schaniel1.651111113W. Buczynski2.056780WSep 30 · 11:05R. Gajda1.7711117111W. Buczynski1.9313111133WSep 30 · 09:55W. Buczynski2.2713911113M. Sikon1.571111871WSep 30 · 08:45M. Rus2.201191011102W. Buczynski1.57711126123LSep 30 · 07:30B. Madej2.4071211113W. Buczynski1.511110781WSep 30 · 05:55K. Schaniel1.841110111192W. Buczynski1.86131285113WSep 28 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek1.917121151W. Buczynski1.8011148113
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