TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Filip Zurek vs Marek Blejchar 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111113117611––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Marek Blejchar at 65.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 4–8 Marek Blejchar Filip Zurek has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:2565.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1487 vs Blejchar 1541
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Blejchar 40%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -2 · Blejchar +4
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Blejchar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.625 / Blejchar 1.444
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Blejchar)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222717
Zurek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 99 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back33% 38 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Blejchar1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 98 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it84% 66 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek3wins
AwayBlejchar7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek60%3 of 5
AwayBlejchar100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S2Zurek4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S3Zurek1Blejchar9n = 10Blejchar took 9 of 10
S4Zurek2Blejchar2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekBlejcharZ − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.333.9−3.6per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 628 vs 310 / 63551%48.8%320 / 628 vs 310 / 635Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharZurek 2.63/Blejchar 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 10:30F. Zurek2451090M. Blejchar341112113
WSep 5 · 21:02F. Zurek4011117113M. Blejchar27721171
LSep 5 · 18:30F. Zurek189540M. Blejchar331111113
WSep 3 · 09:28F. Zurek4211119113M. Blejchar31771161
LSep 3 · 06:00F. Zurek4211125682M. Blejchar507101111113
LAug 29 · 11:30F. Zurek224990M. Blejchar331111113
WAug 20 · 07:30F. Zurek341112113M. Blejchar2051050
LAug 5 · 08:00F. Zurek249960M. Blejchar331111113
LAug 4 · 06:30F. Zurek32117951M. Blejchar4181111113
LJul 24 · 20:00F. Zurek2561360M. Blejchar371115113
F. Zurek10
LOct 1 · 18:30R. Adam1.301091111113F. Zurek3.4012119512LSep 28 · 21:30T. Milota1.60911911113F. Zurek2.2011211522WSep 28 · 20:00I. Taichman2.25114761F. Zurek1.5761111113WSep 28 · 19:00L. Jemelka1.40118751F. Zurek2.7551111113LSep 28 · 18:30F. Zurek1.838960T. Milota1.831111113WSep 27 · 13:30F. Zurek1.7311114123T. Hrabec2.002711101WSep 27 · 12:00F. Zurek1.6111611113M. Jasek2.20511661WSep 27 · 11:30D. Priesol1.5311911862F. Zurek2.38111511113LSep 27 · 10:00F. Zurek1.6111811882T. Hrabec2.20811411113WSep 26 · 09:30R. Guliak2.2511611462F. Zurek1.57511811113
M. Blejchar10
WOct 1 · 18:00M. Blejchar1.531311143I. Taichman2.38115120WSep 29 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.8351113113M. Koral1.831191151WSep 29 · 08:30M. Koral1.91111411872M. Blejchar1.801312611113WSep 29 · 07:30M. Blejchar2.63511711113D. Machander1.4411811982LSep 29 · 06:30M. Volny1.331111113M. Blejchar3.257450LSep 27 · 13:06P. Bajtek1.40111111143M. Blejchar2.659813121LSep 27 · 12:00P. Osvald1.8012711113M. Blejchar1.911011251LSep 27 · 11:00P. Bajtek1.441111113M. Blejchar2.635870LSep 27 · 10:30M. Blejchar2.50811891M. Kowolowski1.5011811113LSep 27 · 09:00L. Velicka1.9111611113M. Blejchar1.80511581
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