TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Hendrych vs Marek Kulisek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111012114711––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Marek Kulisek at 65.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 0–2 Marek Kulisek Jan Hendrych has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:1365.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kulisek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1501 vs Kulisek 1608
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 40% vs Kulisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 50% vs Kulisek 30%
Hendrych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych -2 · Kulisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Kulisek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.50 / Kulisek 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kulisek)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13221079
Hendrych2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 25)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 53 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Kulisek1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 59 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it76% 42 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHendrych0wins
AwayKulisek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKulisek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHendrychKulisekH − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.542.0−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 516 vs 391 / 87350.6%44.8%261 / 516 vs 391 / 873Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekHendrych 2.50/Kulisek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 8 · 20:25J. Hendrych4491171162M. Kulisek51119119113
LJan 18 · 20:05J. Hendrych219390M. Kulisek331111113
J. Hendrych10
WSep 30 · 20:55J. Hrncir1.5779111152J. Hendrych2.25111196113LSep 30 · 20:25M. Sulc1.401281111113J. Hendrych2.7514119582LSep 25 · 17:59J. Hendrych1.809111081P. Moravec1.9111912113LSep 25 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.53111011113J. Hendrych2.38812721WSep 25 · 15:50D. Sochor1.91112951J. Hendrych1.8081111113WSep 25 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.831311113P. Moravec1.8311780LSep 24 · 17:24J. Hendrych2.208890P. Moravec1.611111113LSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661LSep 24 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.911111113J. Hendrych1.802530WSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.731191511113P. Moravec2.0081117662
M. Kulisek10
WSep 30 · 19:55J. Hrncir2.00812111052M. Kulisek1.731110912113LSep 29 · 21:48M. Kulisek2.50531191A. Kosacky1.5011119113WSep 29 · 20:50M. Kulisek3.0051111113A. Kosacky1.36114581WSep 29 · 19:20M. Sulc2.25127551M. Kulisek1.57101111113LSep 29 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.00118711113M. Kulisek1.7391111962LSep 28 · 21:53M. Kulisek1.8081411662O. Fiklik1.911112811113WSep 28 · 20:55O. Fiklik1.9161170M. Kulisek1.801113113LSep 28 · 20:25P. Benes1.53121111113M. Kulisek2.38148771LSep 28 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.754870A. Kosacky1.401111113LSep 27 · 22:38M. Kulisek3.0065110A. Kosacky1.361111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.