TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Chlumsky vs Robert Jamrich 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191513116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:45 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRobert Jamrich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 65 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Robert Jamrich at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlumsky 15–13 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:4554.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jamrich
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-13 in 28
Chlumsky
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlumsky 1498 vs Jamrich 1453
Chlumsky
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlumsky 60% vs Jamrich 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlumsky 70% vs Jamrich 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlumsky +1 · Jamrich +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Jamrich) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlumsky 1.909 / Jamrich 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jamrich)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13219513
Chlumsky1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 7 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Jamrich1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 10 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChlumsky3wins
AwayJamrich7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJamrich leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlumsky33.3%1 of 3
AwayJamrich71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlumsky3Jamrich7n = 10Jamrich took 7 of 10
S2Chlumsky4Jamrich6n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S3Chlumsky5Jamrich5n = 10split evenly
S4Chlumsky4Jamrich3n = 7Chlumsky took 4 of 7
S5Chlumsky1Jamrich3n = 4Jamrich took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChlumskyJamrichC − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.541.6−3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlumskyJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 310 vs 137 / 30446.1%45.1%143 / 310 vs 137 / 304Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JamrichChlumsky 1.91/Jamrich 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jamrich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chlumsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 11:55P. Chlumsky371115113R. Jamrich2891360
LSep 8 · 07:25P. Chlumsky249870R. Jamrich331111113
WJul 22 · 11:25P. Chlumsky4391112113R. Jamrich301141051
LApr 15 · 07:25P. Chlumsky376118121R. Jamrich4411811143
LMar 19 · 11:30P. Chlumsky47114121372R. Jamrich5613111011113
LMar 19 · 08:55P. Chlumsky4687111192R. Jamrich49111188113
LMar 17 · 12:55P. Chlumsky35127791R. Jamrich43101111113
LMar 12 · 14:25P. Chlumsky47111185122R. Jamrich54991111143
LMar 11 · 11:55P. Chlumsky2210480R. Jamrich341211113
WMar 4 · 14:58P. Chlumsky47581211113R. Jamrich45111110762
P. Chlumsky10
WSep 30 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0011118113M. Filipek1.73391151WSep 29 · 14:00P. Chlumsky1.4411138113F. Marat2.638111181LSep 29 · 13:25P. Chlumsky1.83119551L. Moravec1.8351111113LSep 29 · 11:55F. Balcar1.7311117113P. Chlumsky2.00471171WSep 29 · 11:25F. Marat2.50712951P. Chlumsky1.50111011113WSep 22 · 14:35P. Chlumsky1.5011129133F. Marat2.4561011111WSep 22 · 13:25A. Kral1.91111041182P. Chlumsky1.80712119113WSep 22 · 12:25P. Chlumsky1.57111111153F. Marat2.256713131WSep 22 · 10:55L. Moravec1.839880P. Chlumsky1.831111113WSep 21 · 14:15A. Kral1.911191161P. Chlumsky1.8051113113
R. Jamrich10
LSep 30 · 13:25R. Jamrich1.831011115132F. Marat1.83125911153WSep 30 · 11:25M. Filipek1.731111871R. Jamrich2.0081311113WSep 28 · 18:10O. Varecka2.0011351192R. Jamrich1.73911115113LSep 28 · 17:25R. Jamrich2.2511123392J. Kulveit1.578101111113WSep 28 · 15:55O. Varecka1.57711581R. Jamrich2.2511611113LSep 28 · 15:25J. Melichar1.441212113R. Jamrich2.63101080LSep 27 · 10:29J. Kulveit1.5711511113R. Jamrich2.25711881LSep 27 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.61311134113R. Jamrich2.20115111192WSep 27 · 08:25A. Kral1.9191111772R. Jamrich1.80116711113WSep 27 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.9111811113Z. Zahradka1.80711851
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