TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Kovalenko vs Oleh Volynets 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched: 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Oleh Volynets at 62.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 4–6 Oleh Volynets Anatolii Kovalenko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2862.1%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 7.2pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Volynets
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Volynets
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1458 vs Volynets 1425
Kovalenko
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 80% vs Volynets 60%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 70% vs Volynets 30%
Kovalenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -1 · Volynets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Volynets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 2.625 / Volynets 1.444
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Volynets)-7.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218397
Kovalenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 32 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Volynets1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 75 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it63% 46 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko4wins
AwayVolynets6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko60%3 of 5
AwayVolynets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S2Kovalenko3Volynets7n = 10Volynets took 7 of 10
S3Kovalenko2Volynets8n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S4Kovalenko3Volynets2n = 5Kovalenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoVolynetsK − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.336.7−5.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 557 vs 323 / 60953%53%295 / 557 vs 323 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsKovalenko 2.63/Volynets 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volynets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 29 · 10:35A. Kovalenko331111113O. Volynets258980
LAug 11 · 10:40A. Kovalenko237880O. Volynets331111113
LMar 25 · 12:35A. Kovalenko177820O. Volynets331111113
LMar 24 · 12:30A. Kovalenko41118101112O. Volynets47711126113
LMar 17 · 12:00A. Kovalenko2581160O. Volynets351113113
LMar 10 · 13:10A. Kovalenko301010100O. Volynets361212123
WMar 2 · 06:05A. Kovalenko4211117133O. Volynets368611111
LFeb 24 · 17:40A. Kovalenko30115861O. Volynets3851111113
WJan 27 · 17:40A. Kovalenko41111126113O. Volynets47711101182
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 30 · 05:30O. Shyshman2.201313113A. Kovalenko1.61111150WSep 29 · 12:05S. Solomko1.503790A. Kovalenko2.501111113WSep 29 · 10:35A. Kovalenko3.751111113O. Volynets1.258980WSep 29 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.61119111172A. Kovalenko2.20611513113WSep 29 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.4413660A. Kovalenko2.631511103WSep 29 · 05:35I. Emets1.839117101A. Kovalenko1.8311911123LSep 28 · 12:50A. Kovalenko2.101011291O. Lipeiko1.6712911113WSep 28 · 10:50V. Melnykov2.007590A. Kovalenko1.731111113WSep 28 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.50881171A. Kovalenko1.5011114113LSep 28 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.339980M. Stetsenko3.251111113
O. Volynets10
WSep 30 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.53118111082O. Volynets2.38611912113WSep 29 · 11:35O. Lipeiko2.631111451O. Volynets1.4471311113LSep 29 · 10:35A. Kovalenko3.751111113O. Volynets1.258980WSep 29 · 09:05I. Emets2.255870O. Volynets1.571111113LSep 29 · 07:05S. Solomko2.381410117113O. Volynets1.53121271192LSep 29 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.5711912113O. Volynets2.253111061LSep 23 · 11:00D. Khairov1.91118119113O. Volynets1.8061121192LSep 23 · 10:00O. Karpenko2.001191110133O. Volynets1.73911612112LSep 23 · 08:30I. Emets2.384101111113O. Volynets1.5311127672LSep 23 · 06:30A. Troyan1.571311113O. Volynets2.2511980
Upcoming Matches
A. Kovalenko
O. Volynets
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.