TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Kiejda Patryk vs Wiekiera Arkadiusz 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911118119––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
118911118119––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 28–27 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 27 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.84 (50%)
Arkadiusz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-27 in 55
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1443 vs Arkadiusz 1530
Arkadiusz
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 60% vs Arkadiusz 80%
Arkadiusz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 60% vs Arkadiusz 80%
Arkadiusz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk +2 · Arkadiusz +4
Arkadiusz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Arkadiusz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.87 / Arkadiusz 1.84
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13213240
Patryk1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog57% won 16 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back40% 6 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Arkadiusz1.84
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 115 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 85 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatryk3wins
AwayArkadiusz7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk33.3%1 of 3
AwayArkadiusz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk3Arkadiusz7n = 10Arkadiusz took 7 of 10
S2Patryk3Arkadiusz7n = 10Arkadiusz took 7 of 10
S3Patryk3Arkadiusz7n = 10Arkadiusz took 7 of 10
S4Patryk4Arkadiusz3n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S5Patryk2Arkadiusz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatrykArkadiuszP − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.3−3.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 367 vs 544 / 97555.9%55.8%205 / 367 vs 544 / 975Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.441.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszPatryk 1.87/Arkadiusz 1.84
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 19:35K. Patryk217590W. Arkadiusz331111113
LSep 15 · 22:10K. Patryk3710116101W. Arkadiusz4012511123
LSep 15 · 18:30K. Patryk45110111492W. Arkadiusz54711916113
LSep 14 · 14:00K. Patryk356111171W. Arkadiusz4211713113
LSep 8 · 22:30K. Patryk185760W. Arkadiusz331111113
WSep 8 · 17:30K. Patryk4691115113W. Arkadiusz391171381
WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk581091711113W. Arkadiusz55121115892
LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk2681170W. Arkadiusz351113113
WSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk49119611123W. Arkadiusz39511112102
LAug 31 · 19:30K. Patryk4711991172W. Arkadiusz43611114113
K. Patryk10
WSep 28 · 17:30L. Buklat1.831081171K. Patryk1.8712116113WSep 28 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk2.2069111152K. Patryk1.57111188113LSep 28 · 14:30P. Kamil1.3081111173K. Patryk3.261189151WSep 27 · 22:35K. Patryk—101111113S. Toborek—126671LSep 27 · 21:05K. Patryk1.33111081592J. Komorowicz2.958121113113LSep 27 · 19:35K. Patryk1.827590W. Arkadiusz1.881111113LSep 27 · 18:05K. Patryk1.987111091L. Buklat1.7511912113WSep 27 · 16:05K. Patryk1.5411911113S. Toborek2.25411481WSep 27 · 15:05K. Patryk1.49811115113P. Kamil2.4511671162WSep 24 · 21:30P. Kedzierski—6490K. Patryk—1111113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 28 · 18:00P. Kamil2.95881191W. Arkadiusz1.3611117113WSep 28 · 15:30S. Toborek2.5510811121W. Arkadiusz1.4612119143WSep 28 · 14:00D. Kovtanyuk—7811101W. Arkadiusz—11116123WSep 27 · 23:05W. Arkadiusz—113711133J. Komorowicz—711118112LSep 27 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz2.20101050P. Kamil1.601212113WSep 27 · 19:35K. Patryk1.827590W. Arkadiusz1.881111113WSep 27 · 18:35W. Arkadiusz1.4711149113S. Toborek2.507121181WSep 27 · 17:35J. Komorowicz2.60910140W. Arkadiusz1.411112163LSep 27 · 17:05W. Arkadiusz2.10711791L. Buklat1.6611811113WSep 15 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.9512511123K. Patryk1.7510116101
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