TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukasz Buklat vs Wiekiera Arkadiusz 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1146111012116119
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
1146111012116119
H2H Lukasz Buklat 43–40 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 40 of their 83 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 20:21What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Arkadiusz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-40 in 83
Buklat
Correct
gap of 3 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1587 vs Arkadiusz 1515
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 60% vs Arkadiusz 80%
Arkadiusz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 80% vs Arkadiusz 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat +1 · Arkadiusz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Buklat) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.90 / Arkadiusz 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Buklat)+5.4pp
TT Cup · #13213474
Buklat1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 25 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Arkadiusz1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 115 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 85 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat7wins
AwayArkadiusz3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat100%6 of 6
AwayArkadiusz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat6Arkadiusz4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Buklat4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S3Buklat6Arkadiusz4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S4Buklat4Arkadiusz4n = 8split evenly
S5Buklat3Arkadiusz0n = 3Buklat took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatArkadiuszB − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.4+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 459 vs 544 / 97658.8%55.7%270 / 459 vs 544 / 976Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.341.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.90/Arkadiusz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 17:05L. Buklat4111811113W. Arkadiusz34711791
WSep 14 · 15:30L. Buklat4181111113W. Arkadiusz30116851
LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat2569100W. Arkadiusz341111123
LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat366811111W. Arkadiusz4411119133
WAug 31 · 14:30L. Buklat57149815113W. Arkadiusz561211111392
WAug 30 · 07:35L. Buklat4411713133W. Arkadiusz4291111111
WAug 26 · 21:00L. Buklat541111129113W. Arkadiusz4779141162
LAug 24 · 17:00L. Buklat35911871W. Arkadiusz4211911113
WAug 17 · 15:30L. Buklat331111113W. Arkadiusz217770
WAug 10 · 16:30L. Buklat42126112113W. Arkadiusz44101141182
L. Buklat10
WSep 28 · 18:30D. Kovtanyuk3.0051114131L. Buklat1.3311716153LSep 28 · 17:30L. Buklat1.831081171K. Patryk1.8712116113WSep 28 · 16:30P. Kamil2.1595111192L. Buklat1.62111198113LSep 28 · 16:00L. Buklat1.68118117162S. Toborek2.08711711183WSep 27 · 23:35L. Buklat1.65811712113P. Kamil2.10116111092WSep 27 · 22:05L. Buklat1.331111113S. Toborek3.109750WSep 27 · 20:05J. Komorowicz3.2579111792L. Buklat1.301111515113WSep 27 · 18:05K. Patryk1.987111091L. Buklat1.7511912113WSep 27 · 17:05W. Arkadiusz2.10711791L. Buklat1.6611811113WSep 27 · 16:35L. Buklat1.5591114113P. Kamil2.311161281
W. Arkadiusz10
LSep 28 · 19:30K. Patryk1.8711911113W. Arkadiusz1.84811891WSep 28 · 18:00P. Kamil2.95881191W. Arkadiusz1.3611117113WSep 28 · 15:30S. Toborek2.5510811121W. Arkadiusz1.4612119143WSep 28 · 14:00D. Kovtanyuk—7811101W. Arkadiusz—11116123WSep 27 · 23:05W. Arkadiusz—113711133J. Komorowicz—711118112LSep 27 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz2.20101050P. Kamil1.601212113WSep 27 · 19:35K. Patryk1.827590W. Arkadiusz1.881111113WSep 27 · 18:35W. Arkadiusz1.4711149113S. Toborek2.507121181WSep 27 · 17:35J. Komorowicz2.60910140W. Arkadiusz1.411112163LSep 27 · 17:05W. Arkadiusz2.10711791L. Buklat1.6611811113
Upcoming Matches
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W. Arkadiusz
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