TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pasek Kamil vs Lukasz Buklat 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911511119118911
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:18 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
911511119118911
H2H Pasek Kamil 10–19 Lukasz Buklat Pasek Kamil has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-19 in 29
Buklat
Correct
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1433 vs Buklat 1574
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 80% vs Buklat 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 50% vs Buklat 90%
Buklat
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil +1 · Buklat -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Buklat) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 2.15 / Buklat 1.62
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Buklat)+4.2pp
TT Cup · #13212325
Kamil2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 12 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Buklat1.62
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 84 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it100% 43 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 63 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil4wins
AwayBuklat6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamil50%3 of 6
AwayBuklat75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil6Buklat4n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S2Kamil3Buklat7n = 10Buklat took 7 of 10
S3Kamil3Buklat7n = 10Buklat took 7 of 10
S4Kamil1Buklat5n = 6Buklat took 5 of 6
S5Kamil3Buklat1n = 4Kamil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilBuklatK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.0−3.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilBuklatBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 227 vs 268 / 45755.5%58.6%126 / 227 vs 268 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatKamil 2.15/Buklat 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 23:35P. Kamil47116111092L. Buklat49811712113
LSep 27 · 16:35P. Kamil371161281L. Buklat4591114113
LSep 26 · 07:35P. Kamil176920L. Buklat331111113
LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil32119661L. Buklat3961111113
WAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil541412710113L. Buklat511210111262
LAug 30 · 12:35P. Kamil206770L. Buklat331111113
WAug 15 · 20:35P. Kamil331111113L. Buklat207580
WAug 10 · 22:40P. Kamil511112116113L. Buklat5181491192
WAug 10 · 18:00P. Kamil529111011113L. Buklat4511812862
LAug 9 · 20:05P. Kamil2468100L. Buklat341111123
P. Kamil10
LSep 28 · 18:00P. Kamil2.95881191W. Arkadiusz1.3611117113WSep 28 · 14:30P. Kamil1.3081111173K. Patryk3.261189151LSep 27 · 23:35L. Buklat1.65811712113P. Kamil2.10116111092WSep 27 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz2.20101050P. Kamil1.601212113WSep 27 · 20:35S. Toborek1.95116691P. Kamil1.7471111113WSep 27 · 19:05J. Komorowicz2.001251291P. Kamil1.71141110113LSep 27 · 16:35L. Buklat1.5591114113P. Kamil2.311161281LSep 27 · 15:05K. Patryk1.49811115113P. Kamil2.4511671162LSep 26 · 14:15S. Toborek2.1011115113P. Kamil1.65981181WSep 26 · 13:05P. Kamil1.8811119113M. Szostak1.82381161
L. Buklat10
WSep 28 · 18:30D. Kovtanyuk3.0051114131L. Buklat1.3311716153LSep 28 · 17:30L. Buklat1.831081171K. Patryk1.8712116113LSep 28 · 16:00L. Buklat1.68118117162S. Toborek2.08711711183WSep 27 · 23:35L. Buklat1.65811712113P. Kamil2.10116111092WSep 27 · 22:05L. Buklat1.331111113S. Toborek3.109750WSep 27 · 20:05J. Komorowicz3.2579111792L. Buklat1.301111515113WSep 27 · 18:05K. Patryk1.987111091L. Buklat1.7511912113WSep 27 · 17:05W. Arkadiusz2.10711791L. Buklat1.6611811113WSep 27 · 16:35L. Buklat1.5591114113P. Kamil2.311161281WSep 26 · 14:45D. Kovtanyuk2.308512121L. Buklat1.55111110143
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