TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Toborek vs Kiejda Patryk 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112101111012––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 73.0% is still 73.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
73.0%
73.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
71112101111012––
H2H Szymon Toborek 2–6 Kiejda Patryk Szymon Toborek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Patryk
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toborek 1302 vs Patryk 1458
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toborek 20% vs Patryk 80%
Patryk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toborek 20% vs Patryk 60%
Patryk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Toborek -1 · Patryk +3
Patryk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Patryk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toborek form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToborek 3.00 / Patryk 1.35
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Patryk)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13213599
Toborek3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 10 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Patryk1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 113 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it75% 86 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeToborek2wins
AwayPatryk6wins
Patryk leads 6–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeToborekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPatryk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toborek2Patryk6n = 8Patryk took 6 of 8
S2Toborek4Patryk4n = 8split evenly
S3Toborek2Patryk6n = 8Patryk took 6 of 8
S4Toborek2Patryk4n = 6Patryk took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricToborekPatrykT − PBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match29.938.1−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricToborekPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 67 vs 206 / 36834.3%56%23 / 67 vs 206 / 368Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykToborek 3.00/Patryk 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 27 · 22:35S. Toborek31126671K. Patryk43101111113
LSep 27 · 16:05S. Toborek27411481K. Patryk4211911113
WSep 24 · 15:30S. Toborek3951111123K. Patryk351168101
LJul 11 · 20:35S. Toborek24211741K. Patryk4011711113
WJul 6 · 18:00S. Toborek44121110113K. Patryk381071291
LJun 29 · 14:30S. Toborek186570K. Patryk331111113
LJun 22 · 14:00S. Toborek28561161K. Patryk4011117113
LJun 14 · 16:35S. Toborek2899100K. Patryk341111123
S. Toborek10
LSep 28 · 19:00P. Kamil1.521111113S. Toborek2.374670LSep 28 · 17:00D. Kovtanyuk1.801111123S. Toborek1.9064100WSep 28 · 16:00L. Buklat1.68118117162S. Toborek2.08711711183LSep 28 · 15:30S. Toborek2.5510811121W. Arkadiusz1.4612119143LSep 27 · 22:35K. Patryk—101111113S. Toborek—126671LSep 27 · 22:05L. Buklat1.331111113S. Toborek3.109750LSep 27 · 20:35S. Toborek1.95116691P. Kamil1.7471111113LSep 27 · 18:35W. Arkadiusz1.4711149113S. Toborek2.507121181LSep 27 · 16:05K. Patryk1.5411911113S. Toborek2.25411481LSep 27 · 15:35J. Komorowicz1.481271211113S. Toborek2.491011101372
K. Patryk10
WSep 28 · 19:30K. Patryk1.8711911113W. Arkadiusz1.84811891WSep 28 · 17:30L. Buklat1.831081171K. Patryk1.8712116113WSep 28 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk2.2069111152K. Patryk1.57111188113LSep 28 · 14:30P. Kamil1.3081111173K. Patryk3.261189151WSep 27 · 22:35K. Patryk—101111113S. Toborek—126671LSep 27 · 21:05K. Patryk1.33111081592J. Komorowicz2.958121113113LSep 27 · 19:35K. Patryk1.827590W. Arkadiusz1.881111113LSep 27 · 18:05K. Patryk1.987111091L. Buklat1.7511912113WSep 27 · 16:05K. Patryk1.5411911113S. Toborek2.25411481WSep 27 · 15:05K. Patryk1.49811115113P. Kamil2.4511671162
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