TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Komorowicz vs Szymon Toborek 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121071112101113117
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:25 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeSzymon Toborek to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
121071112101113117
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 7–5 Szymon Toborek Szymon Toborek has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:25What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (63%)
Komorowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Komorowicz
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1344 vs Toborek 1369
Toborek
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 20% vs Toborek 60%
Toborek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 30% vs Toborek 50%
Toborek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -3 · Toborek +1
Komorowicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Komorowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toborek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 1.48 / Toborek 2.49
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Komorowicz)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13205817
Komorowicz1.48
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Toborek2.49
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 26)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 10 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz6wins
AwayToborek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKomorowicz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz85.7%6 of 7
AwayToborek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz7Toborek3n = 10Komorowicz took 7 of 10
S2Komorowicz6Toborek4n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz3Toborek7n = 10Toborek took 7 of 10
S4Komorowicz3Toborek2n = 5Komorowicz took 3 of 5
S5Komorowicz2Toborek1n = 3Komorowicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczToborekK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.335.6+1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczToborekBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 528 vs 22 / 5844.9%37.9%237 / 528 vs 22 / 58Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.534.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczKomorowicz 1.48/Toborek 2.49
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 10:35J. Komorowicz239680S. Toborek331111113
WSep 24 · 17:00J. Komorowicz371311133S. Toborek31119110
LJul 26 · 22:35J. Komorowicz4411681182S. Toborek47711117113
LJul 26 · 19:05J. Komorowicz33811771S. Toborek4211911113
WJul 11 · 15:05J. Komorowicz331111113S. Toborek269980
WJul 4 · 13:45J. Komorowicz511271011113S. Toborek45101112662
LJul 4 · 11:35J. Komorowicz2610880S. Toborek341211113
WJun 29 · 18:00J. Komorowicz51111379113S. Toborek42311111162
WJun 22 · 19:30J. Komorowicz331111113S. Toborek239590
WJun 14 · 15:35J. Komorowicz4211119113S. Toborek33581191
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 26 · 13:45J. Komorowicz2.109720M. Szostak1.651111113LSep 26 · 12:35J. Komorowicz1.87119851L. Buklat1.8451111113LSep 26 · 10:35S. Toborek2.051111113J. Komorowicz1.669680WSep 26 · 09:35J. Komorowicz1.9811117113M. Szostak1.75561181LSep 26 · 08:35D. Kovtanyuk2.051111113J. Komorowicz1.689960LSep 26 · 08:05J. Komorowicz2.107111071P. Kamil1.6511812113LSep 24 · 22:30L. Buklat1.1512911113J. Komorowicz4.751011751WSep 24 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8691111123D. Kovtanyuk1.831165101LSep 24 · 18:30J. Komorowicz2.653117101L. Buklat1.3611911123WSep 24 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.601311133S. Toborek2.20119110
S. Toborek10
LSep 27 · 16:05K. Patryk1.5411911113S. Toborek2.25411481WSep 26 · 14:15S. Toborek2.1011115113P. Kamil1.65981181LSep 26 · 12:05S. Toborek1.93811991D. Kovtanyuk1.7811911113WSep 26 · 10:35S. Toborek2.051111113J. Komorowicz1.669680WSep 26 · 09:05S. Toborek2.2514915113P. Kamil1.5812111371LSep 26 · 07:05S. Toborek2.40117471M. Szostak1.5081111113LSep 26 · 06:05S. Toborek3.2075120L. Buklat1.311111143WSep 24 · 22:00D. Kovtanyuk1.8581090S. Toborek1.851112113WSep 24 · 21:00S. Toborek1.951111113P. Kedzierski1.757990LSep 24 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.601311133S. Toborek2.20119110
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