TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Trela vs Michal Skorski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117611118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118117611118––
H2H Mateusz Trela 51–51 Michal Skorski Dead even across their 102 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:11What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-51 in 102
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1248 vs Skorski 1264
Skorski
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 20% vs Skorski 80%
Skorski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 30% vs Skorski 50%
Skorski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela -2 · Skorski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.77 / Skorski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trela)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13212327
Trela1.77
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 135 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 89 of 121
Skorski1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 81 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela6wins
AwaySkorski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela71.4%5 of 7
AwaySkorski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela7Skorski3n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S2Trela4Skorski6n = 10Skorski took 6 of 10
S3Trela4Skorski6n = 10Skorski took 6 of 10
S4Trela5Skorski3n = 8Trela took 5 of 8
S5Trela3Skorski2n = 5Trela took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaSkorskiT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.543.6−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1636 vs 720 / 148949%48.4%801 / 1636 vs 720 / 1489Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.77/Skorski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 23:20M. Trela4211119113M. Skorski33861181
LSep 16 · 20:30M. Trela44115115122M. Skorski49511811143
WAug 7 · 21:05M. Trela561113714113M. Skorski56915111292
WJul 31 · 21:05M. Trela4711815133M. Skorski4491113111
WJul 31 · 19:20M. Trela47118116113M. Skorski4491181152
LJul 25 · 01:00M. Trela31111280M. Skorski381314113
LJul 24 · 22:35M. Trela334111081M. Skorski4311912113
LJul 24 · 20:30M. Trela45111171152M. Skorski51713119113
WJul 9 · 01:00M. Trela361211133M. Skorski29108110
WJul 8 · 22:35M. Trela54914911113M. Skorski49111211782
M. Trela10
LSep 28 · 17:45M. Trela1.83510100B. Mrugala1.871112123LSep 28 · 15:00M. Trela1.721181116142W. Iwasyszyn2.011311514163LSep 28 · 07:40M. Trela2.85811991A. Sobel1.3511811113WSep 28 · 06:30M. Trela1.901311113R. Stapor1.8111970LSep 28 · 05:15M. Trela2.1111118862M. Kukawka1.66971111113LSep 28 · 04:10J. Zochniak1.271114108113M. Trela3.20912121162LSep 28 · 03:25M. Trela1.78831291B. Warpas1.93111110113LSep 18 · 00:10J. Lamperski1.571211113M. Trela2.2510880WSep 17 · 23:45M. Trela1.8531112113B. Mrugala1.801121091LSep 17 · 22:55M. Trela1.4751190K. Golaszewski2.381113113
M. Skorski10
WSep 28 · 15:25M. Skorski1.58111198113M. Kowalczyk2.2558111172WSep 27 · 13:55M. Skorski1.80121111113A. Eliasz1.85149871LSep 27 · 12:40M. Skorski1.85116101152T. Pisarczyk1.85911127113WSep 27 · 11:25M. Skorski1.756111114113W. Suchecki1.9511361652WSep 27 · 10:10F. Jablonski2.10611681M. Skorski1.6511911113LSep 27 · 09:25M. Skorski1.95117951M. Sinicki1.7581111113WSep 27 · 08:35M. Skorski1.701113113A. Eliasz1.9551170LSep 27 · 06:55M. Skorski1.9586111182M. Sinicki1.77111189113LSep 27 · 05:40M. Skorski1.7558100J. Rolak1.951111123LSep 27 · 04:10M. Skorski1.75812891F. Jablonski1.95111011113
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