TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vojtech Kocian vs Radek Adamczyk 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4115111012––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Radek Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 53 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Vojtech Kocian at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 3–1 Radek Adamczyk Radek Adamczyk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kocian
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kocian
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1323 vs Adamczyk 1286
Kocian
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 60% vs Adamczyk 20%
Kocian
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 50% vs Adamczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian +2 · Adamczyk -4
Adamczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kocian) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.73 / Adamczyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocian)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210948
Kocian1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Adamczyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 18 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKocian3wins
AwayAdamczyk1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKocian leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian100%3 of 3
AwayAdamczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian3Adamczyk1n = 4Kocian took 3 of 4
S2Kocian3Adamczyk1n = 4Kocian took 3 of 4
S3Kocian2Adamczyk2n = 4split evenly
S4Kocian1Adamczyk2n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKocianAdamczykK − ABasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.836.0+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 187 vs 51 / 9851.9%52%97 / 187 vs 51 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.73/Adamczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 27 · 19:30V. Kocian308111011R. Adamczyk4311912113
WAug 22 · 19:00V. Kocian55159119113R. Adamczyk48131181152
WAug 4 · 18:00V. Kocian331111113R. Adamczyk208840
WAug 1 · 06:00V. Kocian3712113113R. Adamczyk331041181
V. Kocian10
WSep 29 · 11:00V. Kocian1.736111111113P. Banot2.0011813872WSep 29 · 10:00M. Levicky2.1051181262V. Kocian1.671171110113LSep 27 · 21:00V. Kocian1.5796100P. Banot2.251111123WSep 27 · 20:00V. Kocian1.531113168113P. Banot2.38811181132LSep 27 · 19:30R. Adamczyk2.5011912113V. Kocian1.508111011LSep 27 · 18:00V. Kocian1.5711751172M. Levicky2.25711117113LSep 25 · 13:30A. Virag1.251111113V. Kocian3.757750LSep 25 · 12:00A. Virag1.2811119113V. Kocian3.50621191WSep 25 · 11:00P. Banot2.251188111V. Kocian1.5761111133WSep 25 · 10:30V. Kocian1.571061311113M. Levicky2.25121111842
R. Adamczyk10
LSep 29 · 11:30R. Adamczyk2.38912591M. Levicky1.53111011113LSep 29 · 10:30P. Banot2.001111113R. Adamczyk1.739950LSep 27 · 21:29M. Levicky1.611313113R. Adamczyk2.20111150LSep 27 · 20:30M. Levicky1.831114113R. Adamczyk1.8361280WSep 27 · 19:30R. Adamczyk2.5011912113V. Kocian1.508111011WSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot1.6769100R. Adamczyk2.101111123WSep 26 · 17:30R. Adamczyk1.601211113Z. Luksa2.2010690WSep 26 · 16:00R. Adamczyk1.671113113M. Derco2.1051140LSep 26 · 15:30Z. Luksa2.251171110113R. Adamczyk1.5771161292WSep 26 · 14:00R. Adamczyk1.5011812143M. Blaha2.5071110121
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