TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Erik Mares vs Lukas Jindrak 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811119811––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:59 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Mares above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Lukas Jindrak at 56.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 25–40 Lukas Jindrak Erik Mares has won 25 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jindrak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
25-40 in 65
Jindrak
Correct
gap of 15 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mares 1793 vs Jindrak 1907
Jindrak
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mares 40% vs Jindrak 80%
Jindrak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mares 30% vs Jindrak 70%
Jindrak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mares -1 · Jindrak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Jindrak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 2.10 / Jindrak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Jindrak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210909
Mares2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 106 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 72
Jindrak1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 76 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares3wins
AwayJindrak7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares60%3 of 5
AwayJindrak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares5Jindrak5n = 10split evenly
S2Mares4Jindrak6n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S3Mares3Jindrak7n = 10Jindrak took 7 of 10
S4Mares2Jindrak3n = 5Jindrak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresJindrakM − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.834.6−2.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime602 / 1204 vs 229 / 41550%55.2%602 / 1204 vs 229 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakMares 2.10/Jindrak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jindrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 07:00E. Mares36981181L. Jindrak4211119113
LSep 26 · 06:30E. Mares247980L. Jindrak331111113
LSep 22 · 10:30E. Mares23114531L. Jindrak3631111113
WSep 22 · 06:00E. Mares44111111113L. Jindrak37791381
LSep 12 · 12:30E. Mares228770L. Jindrak331111113
WSep 12 · 08:00E. Mares331111113L. Jindrak238960
LAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares4011671152L. Jindrak44611115113
WAug 26 · 08:00E. Mares331111113L. Jindrak259880
LAug 20 · 16:58E. Mares32712130L. Jindrak401114153
LAug 20 · 16:00E. Mares31811751L. Jindrak3311011113
E. Mares10
LSep 29 · 06:00J. Vales1.831161711113E. Mares1.83911151372WSep 26 · 13:14E. Mares1.501111113M. Parzhizek2.404980LSep 26 · 12:30M. Parzhizek1.53751111113E. Mares2.3811117792WSep 26 · 11:30E. Mares3.75111111123L. Boruvka1.254413101LSep 26 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.44101111113E. Mares2.63129771LSep 26 · 08:58M. Huk2.507101113133E. Mares1.501112511112LSep 26 · 08:30M. Huk2.381212113E. Mares1.53101080WSep 26 · 07:30E. Mares2.251111123D. Opanasiuk1.5789100LSep 26 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.671111113E. Mares2.107980LSep 25 · 17:00E. Mares1.7010390O. Kolisnyk2.021211113
L. Jindrak10
WSep 29 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.571411123J. Kycelt2.25126100WSep 26 · 09:30L. Jindrak2.706111211113D. Opanasiuk1.4011614862LSep 26 · 08:00D. Opanasiuk1.4411511113L. Jindrak2.63811941WSep 26 · 07:00M. Huk2.509950L. Jindrak1.501111113WSep 26 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.671111113E. Mares2.107980LSep 22 · 13:30T. Kos1.4891212113L. Jindrak2.4511101071WSep 22 · 12:30J. Vales1.91781171L. Jindrak1.8011119113LSep 22 · 11:30L. Jindrak2.63711118102T. Kos1.44119911123WSep 22 · 10:30E. Mares2.20114531L. Jindrak1.6131111113WSep 22 · 09:02L. Jindrak1.80911116113J. Vales1.9111581172
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