TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Parzhizek vs Erik Mares 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711511117117119
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:35 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Parzhizek to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Parzhizek above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Parzhizek at 55.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Parzhizek 5–5 Erik Mares Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:35What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Parzhizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parzhizek 1897 vs Mares 1774
Parzhizek
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parzhizek 20% vs Mares 40%
Mares
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parzhizek 40% vs Mares 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Parzhizek -2 · Mares +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Parzhizek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parzhizek form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParzhizek 1.53 / Mares 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Parzhizek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13193997
Parzhizek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 25 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Mares2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 104 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back26% 30 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParzhizek5wins
AwayMares5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParzhizek60%3 of 5
AwayMares60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parzhizek5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S2Parzhizek5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S3Parzhizek3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S4Parzhizek5Mares2n = 7Parzhizek took 5 of 7
S5Parzhizek1Mares2n = 3Mares took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParzhizekMaresP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.638.2−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParzhizekMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 82 vs 602 / 120558.5%50%48 / 82 vs 602 / 1205Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParzhizekParzhizek 1.53/Mares 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Parzhizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Parzhizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 2 · 18:30M. Parzhizek3631111113E. Mares36118891
LSep 1 · 14:00M. Parzhizek2256110E. Mares351111133
LAug 19 · 21:30M. Parzhizek5711111015102E. Mares56691217123
WAug 19 · 20:00M. Parzhizek4411116163E. Mares406911141
WAug 26 · 19:00M. Parzhizek331111113E. Mares155370
LAug 22 · 09:30M. Parzhizek3911631182E. Mares48711118113
WAug 22 · 07:30M. Parzhizek43111911113E. Mares4181111652
LJun 14 · 20:00M. Parzhizek25611711E. Mares4011711113
LApr 18 · 21:30M. Parzhizek124620E. Mares331111113
M. Parzhizek10
LSep 26 · 13:14E. Mares1.501111113M. Parzhizek2.404980LSep 26 · 11:00M. Parzhizek1.8071111992D. Opanasiuk1.91116911113LSep 26 · 10:00L. Boruvka1.531111113M. Parzhizek2.388790WSep 2 · 20:58J. Zajicek2.2011560M. Parzhizek1.611311113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Medek1.7311116113M. Parzhizek2.00781181LSep 2 · 19:00J. Zajicek2.2511117113M. Parzhizek1.57771121WSep 2 · 18:30M. Parzhizek1.6131111113E. Mares2.20118891LSep 1 · 17:00M. Parzhizek1.916911101J. Medek1.8011115123WSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:30J. Medek1.731012791M. Parzhizek2.00121011113
E. Mares10
WSep 26 · 13:14E. Mares1.501111113M. Parzhizek2.404980WSep 26 · 11:30E. Mares3.75111111123L. Boruvka1.254413101LSep 26 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.44101111113E. Mares2.63129771LSep 26 · 08:58M. Huk2.507101113133E. Mares1.501112511112LSep 26 · 08:30M. Huk2.381212113E. Mares1.53101080WSep 26 · 07:30E. Mares2.251111123D. Opanasiuk1.5789100LSep 26 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.671111113E. Mares2.107980LSep 25 · 17:00E. Mares1.7010390O. Kolisnyk2.021211113LSep 25 · 16:00E. Mares1.50101111692M. Huk2.50126611113LSep 2 · 18:30M. Parzhizek1.6131111113E. Mares2.20118891
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