TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Andriej Fomin vs Grzegorz Mucha 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
71117151311115––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
71117151311115––
H2H Andriej Fomin 6–3 Grzegorz Mucha Grzegorz Mucha has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Fomin beat Mucha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.60 / Mucha 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Fomin)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13204280
Fomin1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 284 of 392
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it89% 217 of 243
Mucha2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 49 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayMucha3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderFomin leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin60%3 of 5
AwayMucha25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin5Mucha4n = 9Fomin took 5 of 9
S2Fomin6Mucha3n = 9Fomin took 6 of 9
S3Fomin6Mucha3n = 9Fomin took 6 of 9
S4Fomin5Mucha2n = 7Fomin took 5 of 7
S5Fomin1Mucha2n = 3Mucha took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricFominMuchaF − MBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.435.6+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 940 vs 163 / 32958.4%49.5%549 / 940 vs 163 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.60/Mucha 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 26 · 16:00A. Fomin5912111113123G. Mucha511413311102
LAug 23 · 02:20A. Fomin33137941G. Mucha44111111113
LAug 22 · 20:20A. Fomin4791181182G. Mucha45117115113
WJul 9 · 22:55A. Fomin4011711113G. Mucha33711871
WJul 9 · 16:55A. Fomin331111113G. Mucha125250
WJul 9 · 01:00A. Fomin3961111113G. Mucha27115381
LJul 8 · 18:55A. Fomin4511129942G. Mucha485101111113
WJun 18 · 21:00A. Fomin361311123G. Mucha28117100
WJun 18 · 16:35A. Fomin4181111113G. Mucha32118671
A. Fomin10
LSep 26 · 22:25A. Fomin1.427101111112M. Machelski2.60111277133LSep 26 · 21:10A. Fomin2.308590J. Oracz1.551111113WSep 26 · 20:00M. Machelski3.50611371A. Fomin1.2611711113WSep 26 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.857111110112A. Fomin1.80113312133LSep 26 · 18:25A. Fomin2.05761181A. Zmijewski1.7011114113LSep 26 · 16:50A. Fomin2.404990J. Oracz1.441111113WSep 26 · 16:00G. Mucha2.751413311102A. Fomin1.4012111113123WSep 25 · 01:45A. Fomin3.408121111113M. Guzik1.30111071392WSep 25 · 00:35A. Fomin1.4411811113J. Skorupa2.63711521WSep 24 · 23:20A. Fomin1.73991215113J. Michalik2.001111101342
G. Mucha10
LSep 26 · 23:10G. Mucha2.8851391192A. Zmijewski1.371111118113WSep 26 · 22:00G. Mucha2.50111011133C. Pawlik1.456123111LSep 26 · 20:20G. Mucha3.009670J. Oracz1.361111113WSep 26 · 18:45M. Machelski2.3769120G. Mucha1.521111143WSep 26 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.5011291382G. Mucha2.505111111113WSep 26 · 17:10G. Mucha2.3716118113A. Zmijewski1.451451181LSep 26 · 16:00G. Mucha2.751413311102A. Fomin1.4012111113123LSep 25 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.4011411113G. Mucha2.65511681LSep 25 · 03:55G. Mucha2.15451191M. Lewczuk1.6011113113LSep 25 · 02:45M. Baran2.1051111113G. Mucha1.65116571
Upcoming Matches
A. Fomin
Nothing scheduled
G. Mucha
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