TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Cezary Pawlik vs Grzegorz Mucha 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1152119111311811
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1152119111311811
H2H Cezary Pawlik 2–0 Grzegorz Mucha Grzegorz Mucha has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.50 / Mucha 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13201669
Pawlik1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 128 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it94% 77 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 123
Mucha2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 49 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePawlik2wins
AwayMucha0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderPawlik leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPawlikMuchaP − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.540.0+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 521 vs 160 / 32459.1%49.4%308 / 521 vs 160 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.50/Mucha 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mucha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 2 · 02:00C. Pawlik42114115113G. Mucha4091161132
WAug 1 · 16:25C. Pawlik47511119113G. Mucha4011971122
C. Pawlik10
WSep 26 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.201111113M. Machelski3.909350WSep 26 · 15:10C. Pawlik2.00141147113J. Oracz1.71129111182WSep 26 · 02:00M. Wozniczka2.154580C. Pawlik1.601111113WSep 26 · 01:10M. Krutak2.15611291C. Pawlik1.6111911113WSep 26 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.251111113M. Wolny3.628780LSep 25 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.8011711992M. Warzecha1.85611711113WSep 25 · 22:00M. Natkaniec4.206830C. Pawlik1.201111113WSep 25 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.22911119113M. Wolny3.6511591192LSep 25 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.9011510101M. Krutak1.7591112123WSep 25 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.1811116113M. Natkaniec4.50621131
G. Mucha10
WSep 26 · 18:45M. Machelski2.3769120G. Mucha1.521111143WSep 26 · 17:10G. Mucha2.3716118113A. Zmijewski1.451451181LSep 26 · 16:00G. Mucha2.751413311102A. Fomin1.4012111113123LSep 25 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.4011411113G. Mucha2.65511681LSep 25 · 03:55G. Mucha2.15451191M. Lewczuk1.6011113113LSep 25 · 02:45M. Baran2.1051111113G. Mucha1.65116571WSep 25 · 01:30A. Staniczek2.7011111231G. Mucha1.4291314113WSep 24 · 23:55Z. Nocun1.776890G. Mucha1.951111113WSep 24 · 23:05M. Baran1.8510660G. Mucha1.851211113WSep 24 · 21:55G. Mucha2.371181011123M. Lewczuk1.52811125102
Upcoming Matches
C. Pawlik
Nothing scheduled
G. Mucha
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