TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Sydorenko vs Valentyn Chumak 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
3111113119113811
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Valentyn Chumak below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 60.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 41–54 Valentyn Chumak Vitalii Sydorenko has won 41 of their 95 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chumak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-54 in 95
Chumak
Correct
gap of 13 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1318 vs Chumak 1461
Chumak
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 40% vs Chumak 60%
Chumak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 50% vs Chumak 70%
Chumak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +1 · Chumak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Chumak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.20 / Chumak 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Chumak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13191022
Sydorenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 87 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 83
Chumak1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 58 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it67% 37 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko6wins
AwayChumak4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayChumak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko7Chumak3n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S2Sydorenko6Chumak4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko3Chumak7n = 10Chumak took 7 of 10
S4Sydorenko2Chumak8n = 10Chumak took 8 of 10
S5Sydorenko5Chumak1n = 6Sydorenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoChumakS − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.542.0+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoChumakBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 573 vs 287 / 54943.8%52.3%251 / 573 vs 287 / 549Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChumakSydorenko 2.20/Chumak 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Chumak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chumak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 19:55V. Sydorenko54111379143V. Chumak494111111122
WSep 17 · 19:35V. Sydorenko51111199113V. Chumak3967111142
LSep 3 · 13:35V. Sydorenko351011681V. Chumak3712311113
LAug 21 · 14:05V. Sydorenko351171071V. Chumak4281112113
WAug 18 · 17:05V. Sydorenko49117911113V. Chumak3971111462
WAug 17 · 19:05V. Sydorenko52117149113V. Chumak49911121162
WAug 3 · 15:05V. Sydorenko4381113113V. Chumak331131181
LJul 9 · 19:05V. Sydorenko45111161162V. Chumak48671113113
LJun 22 · 15:35V. Sydorenko4011111081V. Chumak4151312113
WJun 18 · 18:35V. Sydorenko51911119113V. Chumak4311781162
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 25 · 18:35D. Boltenkov1.501571071V. Sydorenko2.50131112113WSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko1.7312111011113V. Husiev2.00101312472WSep 25 · 16:35V. Sydorenko1.8081111113A. Azarov1.91115761WSep 25 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113V. Kaganovych1.449980LSep 24 · 19:05F. Chashchin1.67111011113V. Sydorenko2.10412841LSep 24 · 18:05V. Slabyshev1.6711117113V. Sydorenko2.10691181WSep 24 · 16:35V. Leonov1.531264111V. Sydorenko2.38101111133LSep 24 · 14:35D. Boltenkov1.5311116113V. Sydorenko2.38991151WSep 24 · 12:35A. Azarov1.83101211892V. Sydorenko1.831210711113WSep 23 · 19:55V. Chumak1.614111111122V. Sydorenko2.20111379143
V. Chumak10
WSep 25 · 19:05V. Chumak1.28111011123A. Azarov3.509126101WSep 25 · 17:05D. Boltenkov1.8313117582V. Chumak1.831151111113LSep 25 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911181341V. Kaganovych1.809111583WSep 25 · 13:35V. Chumak1.40118911113V. Husiev2.7571111992LSep 23 · 19:55V. Chumak1.614111111122V. Sydorenko2.20111379143LSep 23 · 17:55O. Korobov1.361111910113V. Chumak3.0035111272WSep 23 · 16:55V. Chumak1.6711117113I. Yelfimov2.10691131WSep 23 · 15:55V. Slabyshev2.2084111142V. Chumak1.61111189113WSep 23 · 14:25V. Chumak1.6111118113Y. Bielokon2.20671171LSep 18 · 19:35V. Chumak1.914111011102I. Yelfimov1.80117127123
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