TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Pruszkowski vs Pawel Kurek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11531112101210––
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
11531112101210––
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 14–3 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pruszkowski beat Kurek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.88 / Kurek 1.83
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13189857
Pruszkowski1.88
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog55% won 61 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back32% 17 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Kurek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 226 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it83% 156 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski8wins
AwayKurek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski87.5%7 of 8
AwayKurekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski8Kurek2n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S2Pruszkowski5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pruszkowski8Kurek2n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S4Pruszkowski3Kurek4n = 7Kurek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiKurekP − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.536.0+3.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime1145 / 1804 vs 439 / 87163.5%50.4%1145 / 1804 vs 439 / 871Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.88/Kurek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.6%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 09:30J. Pruszkowski341111123P. Kurek2284100
WSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski46111149113P. Kurek4595111192
WSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski47111015113P. Kurek398121361
LSep 4 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski32591171P. Kurek4111118113
WSep 4 · 07:20J. Pruszkowski331111113P. Kurek259790
WAug 20 · 11:50J. Pruszkowski4071111113P. Kurek33119941
WAug 20 · 03:50J. Pruszkowski46154142113P. Kurek531311121162
WAug 4 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski4311911123P. Kurek389118101
WAug 3 · 17:30J. Pruszkowski341111123P. Kurek2165100
LAug 3 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski401198121P. Kurek4371111143
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 24 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.46881111133S. Juzek2.55111197112WSep 24 · 12:45J. Pruszkowski1.4315813123W. Glanowski2.64131111101WSep 24 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.851111113P. Gumulinski1.806550WSep 24 · 10:20W. Glanowski3.009780J. Pruszkowski1.321111113WSep 24 · 09:30P. Kurek2.3084100J. Pruszkowski1.521111123WSep 24 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski1.221111113P. Slosarczyk3.757860LSep 24 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.94118671P. Gumulinski1.7861111113WSep 24 · 06:20S. Juzek2.235670J. Pruszkowski1.591111113WSep 22 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski1.501311123K. Jablonski2.40116100WSep 22 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski2.00911127123K. Slawinski1.701121011102
P. Kurek10
WSep 24 · 14:45P. Kurek1.6011117113P. Slosarczyk2.15671181LSep 24 · 13:10P. Kurek3.00115861P. Gumulinski1.3251111113WSep 24 · 12:20S. Juzek2.1012811382P. Kurek1.651011811113LSep 24 · 11:05P. Kurek2.411770P. Slosarczyk1.511111113LSep 24 · 09:30P. Kurek2.3084100J. Pruszkowski1.521111123WSep 24 · 08:20P. Kurek1.551111173S. Juzek2.2586150LSep 24 · 06:45P. Kurek1.36681171W. Glanowski2.8011116113LSep 24 · 05:30P. Kurek2.7011116101P. Gumulinski1.3713911123LSep 23 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.801111113P. Kurek1.905570WSep 23 · 01:10P. Adamus1.8568121182P. Kurek1.801111109113
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