TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Kurek vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117711118––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
116117711118––
H2H Pawel Kurek 14–12 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Slosarczyk beat Kurek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kurek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.60 / Slosarczyk 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kurek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13189605
Kurek1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 226 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it83% 156 of 188
Slosarczyk2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 113 of 366
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurek5wins
AwaySlosarczyk5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlosarczyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek3Slosarczyk7n = 10Slosarczyk took 7 of 10
S2Kurek5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurek5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurek4Slosarczyk3n = 7Kurek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurekSlosarczykK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.936.4−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 870 vs 347 / 91150.3%38.1%438 / 870 vs 347 / 911Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekKurek 1.60/Slosarczyk 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 11:05P. Kurek151770P. Slosarczyk331111113
LSep 22 · 03:55P. Kurek33911671P. Slosarczyk4211911113
WSep 21 · 21:55P. Kurek4291111113P. Slosarczyk29118551
LSep 4 · 10:35P. Kurek341149101P. Slosarczyk4281111123
WSep 4 · 03:00P. Kurek45111112113P. Slosarczyk386131091
WAug 16 · 05:10P. Kurek331111113P. Slosarczyk268990
WAug 1 · 12:15P. Kurek5811111311123P. Slosarczyk43131154102
LAug 1 · 08:35P. Kurek378111171P. Slosarczyk4211137113
LJul 15 · 14:20P. Kurek2791080P. Slosarczyk341112113
WJul 15 · 08:10P. Kurek3511211113P. Slosarczyk351110591
P. Kurek10
LSep 24 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski1.8811312123P. Kurek1.8351110101LSep 24 · 13:10P. Kurek3.00115861P. Gumulinski1.3251111113WSep 24 · 12:20S. Juzek2.1012811382P. Kurek1.651011811113LSep 24 · 11:05P. Kurek2.411770P. Slosarczyk1.511111113LSep 24 · 09:30P. Kurek2.3084100J. Pruszkowski1.521111123WSep 24 · 08:20P. Kurek1.551111173S. Juzek2.2586150LSep 24 · 06:45P. Kurek1.36681171W. Glanowski2.8011116113LSep 24 · 05:30P. Kurek2.7011116101P. Gumulinski1.3713911123LSep 23 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.801111113P. Kurek1.905570WSep 23 · 01:10P. Adamus1.8568121182P. Kurek1.801111109113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 24 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk3.4535111162P. Gumulinski1.25111159113WSep 24 · 13:30S. Juzek1.75117681P. Slosarczyk1.9581111113WSep 24 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.15781161P. Slosarczyk1.6311113113WSep 24 · 11:05P. Kurek2.411770P. Slosarczyk1.511111113LSep 24 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk3.65611761P. Gumulinski1.2211911113LSep 24 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski1.221111113P. Slosarczyk3.757860LSep 24 · 07:30S. Juzek1.92811119123P. Slosarczyk1.80113911102LSep 24 · 05:55W. Glanowski1.85119711113P. Slosarczyk1.8071111652WSep 23 · 13:55P. Polok1.226380P. Slosarczyk4.001111113LSep 23 · 13:05W. Urban1.3011118153P. Slosarczyk3.408411131
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