TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Czerwinski vs Arkadiusz Mugowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Bartosz Czerwinski
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118119––––
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:20 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
119118119––––
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 2–1 Arkadiusz Mugowski Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1532 vs Mugowski 1364
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 60% vs Mugowski 40%
Czerwinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 70% vs Mugowski 40%
Czerwinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski -1 · Mugowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.60 / Mugowski 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Czerwinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13189021
Czerwinski1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 101 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it100% 41 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it84% 70 of 83
Mugowski2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 171 of 414
Down 0–1, comes back26% 64 of 247
Down 0–2, comes back15% 20 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCzerwinski2wins
AwayMugowski1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski1Mugowski2n = 3Mugowski took 2 of 3
S2Czerwinski2Mugowski1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
S3Czerwinski2Mugowski1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
S4Czerwinski1Mugowski2n = 3Mugowski took 2 of 3
S5Czerwinski2Mugowski1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiMugowskiC − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.746.0−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiMugowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 1032 vs 913 / 198947.9%45.9%494 / 1032 vs 913 / 1989Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiCzerwinski 1.60/Mugowski 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 11:25B. Czerwinski4411791342A. Mugowski528111111113
WAug 27 · 07:40B. Czerwinski471011114113A. Mugowski4112661162
WNov 17 · 05:35B. Czerwinski46613115113A. Mugowski45111161162
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 24 · 11:50B. Czerwinski1.57591191R. Stapor2.2011119113WSep 24 · 10:10B. Czerwinski1.57149411113W. Iwasyszyn2.26121111532LSep 24 · 09:00B. Czerwinski2.3066100K. Wisniewski1.551111123WSep 23 · 08:10B. Czerwinski1.4791111113M. Lukaszewski2.45116771WSep 23 · 06:30A. Szoltysek3.557570B. Czerwinski1.221111113WSep 23 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn3.3085100B. Czerwinski1.271111123WSep 23 · 04:55B. Czerwinski1.4091111113M. Zwolinski2.65116251LSep 23 · 03:50B. Czerwinski1.521110781R. Stapor2.3091211113WSep 22 · 14:40P. Blocho1.956970B. Czerwinski1.751111113WSep 22 · 13:30B. Czerwinski2.4091111113D. Solilo1.50117361
A. Mugowski10
LSep 24 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn2.301111113A. Mugowski1.559990LSep 24 · 12:15A. Mugowski2.1581181162F. Krcil1.60119116113LSep 24 · 10:35A. Mugowski5.75814512102K. Wisniewski1.1211121110123WSep 24 · 09:50R. Stapor1.851011116112A. Mugowski1.80128711133WSep 24 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn1.951171111102A. Mugowski1.75911139123LSep 24 · 07:20A. Mugowski2.206790R. Stapor1.601111113LSep 24 · 06:05F. Krcil1.41111113113A. Mugowski2.60641531WSep 24 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski1.9591111101A. Mugowski1.7011135123LSep 24 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10111195113A. Mugowski1.6554111162WSep 21 · 24:10A. Mugowski1.54114113113W. Gluszek2.2521181192
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