TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Krukar vs Wojciech Gluszek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Piotr Krukar
Home
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171816611118––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gluszek to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
1171816611118––
H2H Piotr Krukar 2–3 Wojciech Gluszek Piotr Krukar has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Krukar beat Gluszek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:41What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Krukar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krukar 1212 vs Gluszek 1161
Krukar
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krukar 40% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krukar 40% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krukar -1 · Gluszek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krukar) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krukar form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrukar 1.58 / Gluszek 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krukar)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13186593
Krukar1.58
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite31% won 4 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Gluszek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKrukar2wins
AwayGluszek3wins
4 of 5 to a deciderGluszek leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrukarn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGluszek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krukar2Gluszek3n = 5Gluszek took 3 of 5
S2Krukar4Gluszek1n = 5Krukar took 4 of 5
S3Krukar3Gluszek2n = 5Krukar took 3 of 5
S4Krukar2Gluszek2n = 4split evenly
S5Krukar1Gluszek3n = 4Gluszek took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKrukarGluszekK − GBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match43.238.8+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrukarGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 24 vs 835 / 177833.3%47%8 / 24 vs 835 / 1778Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrukarKrukar 1.58/Gluszek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.3%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krukar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 23 · 17:20P. Krukar47941111123W. Gluszek42111155102
LSep 20 · 23:45P. Krukar4991111992W. Gluszek42111811113
WSep 20 · 20:05P. Krukar331111113W. Gluszek196760
LSep 19 · 21:05P. Krukar481011611102W. Gluszek43126112123
LSep 19 · 18:55P. Krukar3911115662W. Gluszek48691111113
P. Krukar10
LSep 23 · 23:45P. Krukar2.2561112942D. Poloszczanski1.581191011113LSep 23 · 21:05P. Krukar1.6311651292M. Kowalczyk1.938111110113WSep 23 · 20:05D. Poloszczanski1.901285151P. Krukar1.80101111173LSep 23 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.82931111113P. Krukar1.8811119562WSep 23 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.85111155102P. Krukar1.85941111123LSep 23 · 16:35P. Strus2.2511113133P. Krukar1.589711111WSep 23 · 15:00J. Glanowski1.401110571P. Krukar2.6581211113WSep 21 · 24:35P. Krukar1.70119513113D. Kotwica2.00911111182LSep 20 · 23:45W. Gluszek3.30111811113P. Krukar1.2191111992LSep 20 · 22:35P. Krukar2.2061120K. Kostyk1.571111143
W. Gluszek10
LSep 23 · 21:30J. Glanowski1.5091111113W. Gluszek2.50118271WSep 23 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.711111113P. Strus2.007570LSep 23 · 18:30W. Gluszek1.808911111D. Poloszczanski1.8611118133LSep 23 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.85111155102P. Krukar1.85941111123WSep 23 · 16:15J. Glanowski1.52161171W. Gluszek2.3011117113LSep 23 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.9011940M. Kowalczyk1.801311113LSep 23 · 24:10W. Gluszek1.9581080M. Skorski1.741112113WSep 22 · 23:20W. Gluszek1.856111111113J. Rolak1.8511138862LSep 22 · 21:55W. Gluszek1.8551112101K. Marchlewski1.8011614123WSep 20 · 23:45W. Gluszek3.30111811113P. Krukar1.2191111992
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