TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Glanowski vs Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Jakub Glanowski
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711711311––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
119711711311––
H2H Jakub Glanowski 1–1 Marcin Kowalczyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kowalczyk beat Glanowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:41What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Glanowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1349 vs Kowalczyk 1295
Glanowski
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 20% vs Kowalczyk 60%
Kowalczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 40% vs Kowalczyk 70%
Kowalczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -1 · Kowalczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Glanowski) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 1.40 / Kowalczyk 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Glanowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13186561
Glanowski1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 218 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it90% 109 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it73% 158 of 216
Kowalczyk2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 141 of 322
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGlanowski1wins
AwayKowalczyk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGlanowskiKowalczykG − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.038.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime884 / 1784 vs 740 / 150349.6%49.2%884 / 1784 vs 740 / 1503Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiGlanowski 1.40/Kowalczyk 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 23 · 20:30J. Glanowski33981151M. Kowalczyk4111118113
WJun 9 · 19:30J. Glanowski4111118113M. Kowalczyk35971181
J. Glanowski10
LSep 23 · 21:55J. Glanowski1.57119671D. Poloszczanski2.2091111113WSep 23 · 21:30J. Glanowski1.5091111113W. Gluszek2.50118271LSep 23 · 20:30J. Glanowski1.36981151M. Kowalczyk2.5011118113LSep 23 · 18:55J. Glanowski1.9411691192P. Strus1.78911118113LSep 23 · 17:45J. Glanowski1.558117131D. Poloszczanski2.3011411153LSep 23 · 16:15J. Glanowski1.52161171W. Gluszek2.3011117113LSep 23 · 15:00J. Glanowski1.401110571P. Krukar2.6581211113WSep 16 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.351112116113M. Zwolinski2.90610131192WSep 16 · 06:30J. Glanowski1.36139112113A. Szoltysek2.75111171182WSep 16 · 05:15J. Glanowski1.651413123113K. Klocek2.101611101192
M. Kowalczyk10
LSep 23 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.651111511113M. Kowalczyk2.1013711772WSep 23 · 21:05P. Krukar1.6311651292M. Kowalczyk1.938111110113WSep 23 · 20:30J. Glanowski1.36981151M. Kowalczyk2.5011118113WSep 23 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.82931111113P. Krukar1.8811119562LSep 23 · 18:10P. Strus2.0091111113M. Kowalczyk1.70114631WSep 23 · 16:55D. Poloszczanski1.75941191M. Kowalczyk1.9811115113WSep 23 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.9011940M. Kowalczyk1.801311113WSep 21 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.608740M. Kowalczyk2.201111113LSep 21 · 22:35M. Durda1.12911522113M. Kowalczyk6.00116112062WSep 21 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk2.051111113J. Przewlocki1.668660
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