TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Chaikovskyi vs Oleksandr Pohonov · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Sep 24, 04:35Scheduled
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 26–4Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
40 – 26
All 66 meetings · 60.6%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 25–5Last 10Lost last 2
Same-day rematch · 13h before this match
Pohonov beat Chaikovskyi 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.50 / Pohonov 2.50
Setka Cup · #13185441
Chaikovskyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 96 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it77% 66 of 86
Pohonov2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 41 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi7wins
AwayPohonov3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi80%4 of 5
AwayPohonov40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi5Pohonov5n = 10split evenly
S2Chaikovskyi6Pohonov4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi6Pohonov4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi5Pohonov3n = 8Chaikovskyi took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiPohonovC − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.734.2+4.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 787 vs 283 / 54752%51.7%409 / 787 vs 283 / 547Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 23 · 16:05B. Chaikovskyi35911781O. Pohonov3911611113
WSep 23 · 02:30B. Chaikovskyi4061111123O. Pohonov341185101
WSep 19 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi331111113O. Pohonov199550
WSep 17 · 11:35B. Chaikovskyi4211611143O. Pohonov398118121
WSep 16 · 16:05B. Chaikovskyi4111117123O. Pohonov358611101
WSep 13 · 01:43B. Chaikovskyi43611114113O. Pohonov3611421182
LSep 12 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi4311391192O. Pohonov44911112113
WSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi4291111113O. Pohonov27118531
LSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi2999110O. Pohonov351111133
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 23 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.1011730B. Chaikovskyi1.671311113WSep 23 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.837101191B. Chaikovskyi1.8311125113LSep 23 · 16:05O. Pohonov2.3811611113B. Chaikovskyi1.53911781WSep 23 · 14:05A. Romanenko2.508111251B. Chaikovskyi1.5011814113LSep 23 · 12:05V. Zharskiy1.57691611113B. Chaikovskyi2.25111114182WSep 23 · 02:30O. Pohonov2.381185101B. Chaikovskyi1.5361111123WSep 23 · 01:30A. Romanenko2.259540B. Chaikovskyi1.571111113LSep 23 · 24:00V. Zharskiy1.611211113B. Chaikovskyi2.2010670LSep 22 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.83111238113B. Chaikovskyi1.83610111122WSep 22 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko2.1011111382B. Chaikovskyi1.67681111113
O. Pohonov10
LSep 23 · 18:05V. Zharskiy1.6111711113O. Pohonov2.20911561LSep 23 · 17:05O. Pohonov1.509980A. Romanenko2.501111113WSep 23 · 16:05O. Pohonov2.3811611113B. Chaikovskyi1.53911781WSep 23 · 14:35O. Pohonov2.6391512113G. Kuzmenko1.4411131041WSep 23 · 12:35O. Pohonov1.331112113I. Sukovatyi3.2541080LSep 23 · 02:30O. Pohonov2.381185101B. Chaikovskyi1.5361111123LSep 23 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko1.4411117113O. Pohonov2.63581121WSep 22 · 23:30O. Pohonov1.571111113A. Romanenko2.259930LSep 22 · 22:30V. Zharskiy1.6111614113O. Pohonov2.207111291WSep 22 · 21:00O. Pohonov1.331111113I. Sukovatyi3.258970
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