TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Rus vs Rafal Gajda · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 15:30Scheduled
Maksymilian Rus
Home
3.05
At publish
Won last 12–8Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
13 – 30
All 43 meetings · 30.2%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
Rafal Gajda
Away
1.24
At publish
Won last 57–3Last 10Won last 5
Rafal Gajda arrives on a run of 5 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Gajda beat Rus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 3.05 / Gajda 1.24
TT Elite Series · #13183684
Rus3.05
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 75 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 100
Gajda1.24
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 150 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus3wins
AwayGajda7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGajda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRusn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGajda66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus1Gajda9n = 10Gajda took 9 of 10
S2Rus4Gajda6n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S3Rus4Gajda6n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S4Rus2Gajda5n = 7Gajda took 5 of 7
S5Rus3Gajda1n = 4Rus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusGajdaR − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.143.3−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 414 vs 432 / 83732.1%51.6%133 / 414 vs 432 / 837Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 09:30M. Rus399127111R. Gajda45111011133
LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus2810990R. Gajda341211113
LSep 2 · 09:30M. Rus42114111152R. Gajda52131189113
LJul 28 · 15:05M. Rus31291191R. Gajda4211119113
LJul 28 · 09:05M. Rus217680R. Gajda331111113
LJul 21 · 12:45M. Rus27117541R. Gajda3961111113
WJul 21 · 10:20M. Rus50514119113R. Gajda48111291152
LJul 7 · 12:20M. Rus32813110R. Gajda391115133
WJul 7 · 08:20M. Rus551011119143R. Gajda49128611122
WJun 30 · 12:45M. Rus46514411123R. Gajda521112118102
M. Rus10
WSep 23 · 14:20M. Rus2.10141111123B. Madej1.6512813101LSep 23 · 12:50M. Rus5.005730R. Skotniczny1.121111113LSep 23 · 11:30M. Rus2.759490M. Baron1.401111113LSep 23 · 10:20R. Skotniczny1.191116163M. Rus4.23514140LSep 23 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32111011133M. Rus3.109127111WSep 23 · 08:45M. Rus2.601011712113O. Vincenec1.44128111082LSep 23 · 07:10M. Rus2.55331141M. Baron1.4511117113LSep 23 · 06:20B. Madej1.6617911113M. Rus2.101511791LSep 16 · 17:05M. Rus4.50116981K. Hetnar1.1471111113LSep 16 · 15:30M. Rus3.405440P. Kurek1.241111113
R. Gajda10
WSep 23 · 13:10R. Gajda1.93931111113M. Baron1.7811118552WSep 23 · 12:30B. Madej2.8011881362R. Gajda1.376111111113WSep 23 · 11:05R. Gajda1.70101111123O. Vincenec2.001286101WSep 23 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32111011133M. Rus3.109127111WSep 23 · 08:20R. Gajda1.50111110113B. Madej2.35771291LSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113WSep 23 · 05:30R. Gajda1.75111165113M. Baron1.9599111162LSep 22 · 20:20R. Gajda1.858111171P. Kaczynski1.8011713113LSep 22 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.57611611113R. Gajda2.2011611942WSep 22 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.835460R. Gajda1.861111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Rus
Nothing scheduled
R. Gajda
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