TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Zwolinski vs Rafal Stapor 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411611119911––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
411611119911––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 3–4 Rafal Stapor Mariusz Zwolinski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Zwolinski beat Stapor 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 3.30 / Stapor 1.29
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13183537
Zwolinski3.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 52 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Stapor1.29
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 386 of 615
Up 2–0, closes it96% 196 of 205
Up 1–0, closes it81% 295 of 366
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZwolinski3wins
AwayStapor4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderStapor leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZwolinski66.7%2 of 3
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski3Stapor4n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S2Zwolinski3Stapor4n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S3Zwolinski3Stapor4n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S4Zwolinski2Stapor3n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricZwolinskiStaporZ − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.438.3−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 387 vs 693 / 122537.2%56.6%144 / 387 vs 693 / 1225Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporZwolinski 3.30/Stapor 1.29
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 23 · 06:05M. Zwolinski45101113113R. Stapor391291171
LSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski194690R. Stapor331111113
WSep 16 · 11:25M. Zwolinski521110119113R. Stapor3561221142
WSep 16 · 06:55M. Zwolinski4414117123R. Stapor4112811101
LSep 2 · 13:30M. Zwolinski301110631R. Stapor4061211113
LAug 19 · 11:00M. Zwolinski44511116112R. Stapor47114811133
LMar 1 · 15:40M. Zwolinski213990R. Stapor331111113
M. Zwolinski10
WSep 23 · 13:10A. Szoltysek1.8014119692M. Zwolinski1.851281111113LSep 23 · 10:35M. Zwolinski2.04111113832M. Minda1.701381111113WSep 23 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.93961191M. Zwolinski1.7911116113LSep 23 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn1.9311115143M. Zwolinski1.788811121WSep 23 · 07:20M. Zwolinski1.9511911113M. Lukaszewski1.75911791WSep 23 · 06:05R. Stapor1.301291171M. Zwolinski3.05101113113LSep 23 · 04:55B. Czerwinski1.4091111113M. Zwolinski2.65116251WSep 23 · 03:25A. Szoltysek2.05911691M. Zwolinski1.6811611113WSep 21 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.2511916113F. Krcil1.579111461WSep 21 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.75611118113D. Solilo1.2211951182
R. Stapor10
LSep 23 · 13:30R. Stapor1.822590M. Minda1.881111113LSep 23 · 11:00J. Zochniak1.41911913113R. Stapor2.70114111192WSep 23 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn3.007550R. Stapor1.321111113WSep 23 · 07:40A. Szoltysek2.65121050R. Stapor1.401412113WSep 23 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn1.6661111852R. Stapor2.11118711113LSep 23 · 06:05R. Stapor1.301291171M. Zwolinski3.05101113113WSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor1.4091111113M. Lukaszewski2.65117841WSep 23 · 03:50B. Czerwinski1.521110781R. Stapor2.3091211113LSep 22 · 08:10R. Stapor1.40811771M. Lukaszewski2.7511511113WSep 22 · 06:30B. Wisniewski3.15911751R. Stapor1.3011911113
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