Jiri Ruzicka vs Jan Kanera 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jiri Ruzicka

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

116311119711811

Jan Kanera

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jiri Ruzicka to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Jan Kanera below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 88 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%

88 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Ruzicka 20–23 Jan Kanera Jiri Ruzicka has won 20 of their 43 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Ruzicka

Ruzicka 1.91/Kanera 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Ruzicka · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Kanera won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 15:25

54.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909

clears by 1.6pp

52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Kanera

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

20-23 in 43

Kanera

Correct

gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Ruzicka 1772 vs Kanera 1711

Ruzicka

Wrong

both rated, 61 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Ruzicka 40% vs Kanera 20%

Ruzicka

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Ruzicka 50% vs Kanera 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Ruzicka -2 · Kanera +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kanera: form 20%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRuzicka 1.909 / Kanera 1.80

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Ruzicka)+1.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRuzicka5wins

AwayKanera5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRuzicka80%4 of 5

AwayKanera80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ruzicka5Kanera5n = 10split evenly

S2Ruzicka6Kanera4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10

S3Ruzicka3Kanera7n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10

S4Ruzicka4Kanera6n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10

S5Ruzicka3Kanera1n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricRuzickaKaneraR − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.242.4+0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRuzickaKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime697 / 1419 vs 248 / 54149.1%45.8%697 / 1419 vs 248 / 541Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.4per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280343

Ruzicka1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 132 of 331

Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 208

Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109

Kanera1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite56% won 57 of 102

Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52

Jiri Ruzicka vs Jan Kanera 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jiri Ruzicka vs Jan Kanera 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.