TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Urban vs Kacper Slawinski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210119911611811
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 67.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Urban 1–5 Kacper Slawinski Wojciech Urban has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1336 vs Slawinski 1485
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 40% vs Slawinski 60%
Slawinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -1 · Slawinski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.38 / Slawinski 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13177221
Urban2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 212 of 520
Down 0–1, comes back19% 53 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back6% 10 of 169
Slawinski1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 138 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it99% 65 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it81% 101 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeUrban1wins
AwaySlawinski5wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSlawinski leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban2Slawinski4n = 6Slawinski took 4 of 6
S2Urban3Slawinski3n = 6split evenly
S3Urban2Slawinski4n = 6Slawinski took 4 of 6
S4Urban1Slawinski5n = 6Slawinski took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away467%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricUrbanSlawinskiU − SBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match38.343.7−5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime781 / 1659 vs 643 / 103747.1%62%781 / 1659 vs 643 / 1037Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiUrban 2.38/Slawinski 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 23 · 09:00W. Urban4612119682K. Slawinski521091111113
LSep 23 · 04:30W. Urban388911101K. Slawinski4211118123
WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban50811811123K. Slawinski45117116102
LSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban29811461K. Slawinski3911611113
LOct 15 · 17:30W. Urban32681171K. Slawinski4111118113
LSep 3 · 16:00W. Urban35129681K. Slawinski43101111113
W. Urban10
WSep 23 · 10:10W. Urban2.00981111123P. Polok1.73111117102LSep 23 · 07:45P. Polok1.73111149113W. Urban2.0089111172WSep 23 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk3.0055120W. Urban1.361111143LSep 23 · 06:05W. Urban2.3871111892S. Szostok1.53115311113LSep 23 · 04:30W. Urban2.638911101K. Slawinski1.4411118123WSep 23 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.911281111112W. Urban1.801011138133LSep 22 · 14:40P. Brozek1.501211113W. Urban2.5010690WSep 22 · 13:30W. Urban1.57711911123P. Przewlocki2.25118115102WSep 22 · 12:15M. Skuril2.001113681W. Urban1.7291511113WSep 22 · 11:00R. Niemiec1.8391111882W. Urban1.83117911113
K. Slawinski10
LSep 23 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk4.0011311123K. Slawinski1.229117101WSep 23 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.209970K. Slawinski1.611111113WSep 23 · 07:20S. Szostok2.10613591K. Slawinski1.67111111113LSep 23 · 05:15P. Polok1.911111113K. Slawinski1.808170WSep 23 · 04:30W. Urban2.638911101K. Slawinski1.4411118123LSep 23 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3.40121110113K. Slawinski1.301091251WSep 22 · 16:20J. Pelka2.908121191K. Slawinski1.3511147113LSep 22 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski2.00911127123K. Slawinski1.701121011102WSep 22 · 14:45K. Slawinski1.6011118113K. Jablonski2.15891191LSep 22 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.35711101182O. Vincenec2.90119128113
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