Milan Smrcek vs Jan Steffan 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 13Finished

Milan Smrcek

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

811118114115––

Jan Steffan

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMilan Smrcek above · Jan Steffan below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 69 set 4, 11-5

69 points played in total.

H2H Milan Smrcek 31–22 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 22 of their 53 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Smrcek

Smrcek 1.73/Steffan 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Smrcek won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Steffan: form 20%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSmrcek 1.727 / Steffan 2.00

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Smrcek beat Steffan 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSmrcek5wins

AwaySteffan5wins

6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSmrcek66.7%2 of 3

AwaySteffan57.1%4 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Smrcek3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10

S2Smrcek3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10

S3Smrcek8Steffan2n = 10Smrcek took 8 of 10

S4Smrcek3Steffan5n = 8Steffan took 5 of 8

S5Smrcek4Steffan2n = 6Smrcek took 4 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSmrcekSteffanSmrcek − SteffanBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.639.9+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSmrcekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 518 vs 461 / 96448.5%47.8%251 / 518 vs 461 / 964Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.3per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13288032

Smrcek1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite57% won 27 of 47

Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25

Steffan2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog38% won 86 of 228

Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 116

Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67

Milan Smrcek vs Jan Steffan 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Milan Smrcek vs Jan Steffan 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.