Oliver Vincenec vs Piotr Gumulinski 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna

Played Oct 12Finished

Oliver Vincenec

Home

1.79

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1614811117311116

Piotr Gumulinski

Away

1.93

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched: 62.9% is still 62.9%

Graded at full time

Piotr Gumulinski to win

62.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

98 points played in total.

Set by set

1614811117311116

H2H Oliver Vincenec 11–24 Piotr Gumulinski Oliver Vincenec has won 11 of their 35 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Gumulinski

Vincenec 1.79/Gumulinski 1.93

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

62.9%

Gumulinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vincenec won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:00

62.9%Our read51.8%to break even at 1.93

clears by 11.1pp

51.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.93 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.79 (52%)

Vincenec

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

11-24 in 35

Gumulinski

Wrong

gap of 13 in 35, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vincenec 1262 vs Gumulinski 1365

Gumulinski

Wrong

both rated, 104 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vincenec 60% vs Gumulinski 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vincenec 40% vs Gumulinski 70%

Gumulinski

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vincenec +3 · Gumulinski -2

Vincenec

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVincenec 1.79 / Gumulinski 1.93

Signal prob.37% / 63%

Edge (Gumulinski)+11.1pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVincenec3wins

AwayGumulinski7wins

5 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVincenec33.3%2 of 6

AwayGumulinski75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vincenec6Gumulinski4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10

S2Vincenec4Gumulinski6n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10

S3Vincenec7Gumulinski3n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10

S4Vincenec2Gumulinski7n = 9Gumulinski took 7 of 9

S5Vincenec1Gumulinski4n = 5Gumulinski took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVincenecGumulinskiV − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.844.2−3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVincenecGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime727 / 1596 vs 1040 / 183745.6%56.6%727 / 1596 vs 1040 / 1837Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13286699

Vincenec1.79

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite54% won 136 of 254

Up 2–0, closes it86% 59 of 69

Up 1–0, closes it73% 95 of 130

Gumulinski1.93

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog60% won 119 of 200

Down 0–1, comes back51% 56 of 110

Down 0–2, comes back16% 7 of 45

Oliver Vincenec vs Piotr Gumulinski 3-2 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oliver Vincenec vs Piotr Gumulinski 3-2 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.