Oliver Vincenec vs Pawel Kurek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna

Played Oct 12Finished

Oliver Vincenec

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

114911115117––

Pawel Kurek

Away

1.60

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched: 61.1% is still 61.1%

Graded at full time

Pawel Kurek to win

61.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

69 points played in total.

Set by set

114911115117––

H2H Oliver Vincenec 12–11 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 11 of their 23 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6SplitHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kurek

Vincenec 2.20/Kurek 1.60

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

61.1%

Kurek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Vincenec won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:54

61.1%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60

short by 1.4pp

62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.60 (58%)

Kurek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

12-11 in 23

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vincenec 1215 vs Kurek 1338

Kurek

Wrong

both rated, 123 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vincenec 20% vs Kurek 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vincenec 10% vs Kurek 40%

Kurek

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vincenec -2 · Kurek -4

Kurek

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Kurek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kurek: form 20%, the price implies 63%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVincenec 2.20 / Kurek 1.60

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Kurek)-1.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVincenec4wins

AwayKurek6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVincenec60%3 of 5

AwayKurek80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vincenec5Kurek5n = 10split evenly

S2Vincenec5Kurek5n = 10split evenly

S3Vincenec3Kurek7n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10

S4Vincenec2Kurek3n = 5Kurek took 3 of 5

S5Vincenec2Kurek2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricVincenecKurekV − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.738.3−3.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVincenecKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime724 / 1593 vs 482 / 94845.5%50.8%724 / 1593 vs 482 / 948Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13279316

Vincenec2.20

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 188 of 471

Down 0–1, comes back23% 65 of 279

Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 142

Kurek1.60

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 09)

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 253 of 392

Up 2–0, closes it95% 121 of 127

Up 1–0, closes it84% 177 of 211

Oliver Vincenec vs Pawel Kurek 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oliver Vincenec vs Pawel Kurek 3-1 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.