Piotr Gumulinski vs Grzegorz Marud 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna

Played Oct 12Finished

Piotr Gumulinski

Home

1.76

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

411911211––––

Grzegorz Marud

Away

1.90

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Piotr Gumulinski to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

48 points played in total.

Set by set

411911211––––

H2H Piotr Gumulinski 110–99 Grzegorz Marud Grzegorz Marud has won 99 of their 209 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6SplitHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Gumulinski

Gumulinski 1.76/Marud 1.90

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Gumulinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Marud won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:17

54.0%Our read56.8%to break even at 1.76

short by 2.8pp

56.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.76 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.76 (52%)

Gumulinski

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

110-99 in 209

Gumulinski

Wrong

gap of 11 in 209, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Gumulinski 1396 vs Marud 1422

Marud

Correct

both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Gumulinski 80% vs Marud 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Gumulinski 70% vs Marud 70%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Gumulinski +3 · Marud +2

Gumulinski

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marud: form 80%, the price implies 53%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGumulinski 1.76 / Marud 1.90

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Gumulinski)-2.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeGumulinski4wins

AwayMarud6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderMarud leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeGumulinski60%3 of 5

AwayMarud80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Gumulinski5Marud5n = 10split evenly

S2Gumulinski5Marud5n = 10split evenly

S3Gumulinski6Marud4n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10

S4Gumulinski3Marud4n = 7Marud took 4 of 7

S5Gumulinski1Marud3n = 4Marud took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricGumulinskiMarudG − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.040.8−1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGumulinskiMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime1043 / 1840 vs 662 / 137656.7%48.1%1043 / 1840 vs 662 / 1376Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.6per match

TT Elite Series · #13285037

Gumulinski1.76

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite62% won 384 of 615

Up 2–0, closes it94% 170 of 180

Up 1–0, closes it77% 258 of 334

Marud1.90

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog42% won 127 of 306

Down 0–1, comes back22% 36 of 164

Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 100

Piotr Gumulinski vs Grzegorz Marud 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Piotr Gumulinski vs Grzegorz Marud 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.