Grzegorz Marud vs Jakub Nowak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna

Played Oct 12Finished

Grzegorz Marud

Home

1.65

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11131151161012118

Jakub Nowak

Away

2.12

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

98 points played in total.

Set by set

11131151161012118

H2H Grzegorz Marud 74–36 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 36 of their 110 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Marud

Marud 1.65/Nowak 2.12

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–2

Marud won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Nowak: form 80%, the price implies 47%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarud 1.65 / Nowak 2.12

Same-day rematch · 8h before this match

Marud beat Nowak 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMarud7wins

AwayNowak3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderMarud leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMarud77.8%7 of 9

AwayNowakn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Marud9Nowak1n = 10Marud took 9 of 10

S2Marud6Nowak4n = 10Marud took 6 of 10

S3Marud6Nowak4n = 10Marud took 6 of 10

S4Marud3Nowak2n = 5Marud took 3 of 5

S5Marud1Nowak2n = 3Nowak took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMarudNowakM − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.033.1+6.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarudNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime661 / 1375 vs 673 / 176448.1%38.2%661 / 1375 vs 673 / 1764Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13283095

Marud1.65

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite53% won 122 of 229

Up 2–0, closes it86% 74 of 86

Up 1–0, closes it70% 98 of 140

Nowak2.12

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog37% won 249 of 680

Down 0–1, comes back22% 90 of 409

Down 0–2, comes back8% 20 of 242

Grzegorz Marud vs Jakub Nowak 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Grzegorz Marud vs Jakub Nowak 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.