Adam Dvoracek vs Jan Marhol 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Adam Dvoracek

Home

2.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11771111915171210

Jan Marhol

Away

1.50

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Jan Marhol below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 15-17

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 110 set 5, 12-10

110 points played in total.

H2H Adam Dvoracek 1–6 Jan Marhol Adam Dvoracek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 1–6Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Marhol

Dvoracek 2.50/Marhol 1.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–2

Dvoracek won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marhol: form 80%, the price implies 67%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDvoracek 2.50 / Marhol 1.50

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Marhol beat Dvoracek 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeDvoracek1wins

AwayMarhol6wins

4 of 7 to a deciderMarhol leads 6–1, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDvoracek20%1 of 5

AwayMarholn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dvoracek5Marhol2n = 7Dvoracek took 5 of 7

S2Dvoracek1Marhol6n = 7Marhol took 6 of 7

S3Dvoracek3Marhol4n = 7Marhol took 4 of 7

S4Dvoracek1Marhol5n = 6Marhol took 5 of 6

S5Dvoracek1Marhol2n = 3Marhol took 2 of 3

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home114%

2–3Decider, away343%

1–3Four sets, away229%

0–3Straight, away114%

These 7 meetings

MetricDvoracekMarholD − MBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match41.244.7−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDvoracekMarholBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 491 vs 136 / 26452.8%51.5%259 / 491 vs 136 / 264Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.1per match

Setka Cup · #13284859

Dvoracek2.50

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog47% won 62 of 131

Down 0–1, comes back29% 20 of 68

Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33

Marhol1.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite51% won 32 of 63

Up 2–0, closes it71% 10 of 14

Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29

Adam Dvoracek vs Jan Marhol 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Adam Dvoracek vs Jan Marhol 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.