Martin Vorel vs Jan Blazek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Martin Vorel

Home

1.44

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

711117116119––

Jan Blazek

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Jan Blazek below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 73 set 4, 11-9

73 points played in total.

H2H Martin Vorel 20–12 Jan Blazek Jan Blazek has won 12 of their 32 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vorel

Vorel 1.44/Blazek 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Vorel won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Blazek: form 20%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVorel 1.444 / Blazek 2.625

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Vorel beat Blazek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVorel7wins

AwayBlazek3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderVorel leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVorel100%6 of 6

AwayBlazek75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vorel6Blazek4n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10

S2Vorel4Blazek6n = 10Blazek took 6 of 10

S3Vorel7Blazek3n = 10Vorel took 7 of 10

S4Vorel3Blazek3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricVorelBlazekV − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.134.8+3.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVorelBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 777 vs 160 / 37249.7%43%386 / 777 vs 160 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.6per match

Setka Cup · #13284706

Vorel1.44

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite53% won 92 of 175

Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46

Up 1–0, closes it68% 64 of 94

Blazek2.63

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog40% won 52 of 129

Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 72

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39

Martin Vorel vs Jan Blazek 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Martin Vorel vs Jan Blazek 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.