Petr Vicherek vs Antonin Baros 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 20 - Czech 9 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Petr Vicherek

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

13111171412––––

Antonin Baros

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Petr Vicherek to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPetr Vicherek above · Antonin Baros below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 14-12

Point 68 set 3, 14-12 · our read held Petr Vicherek at 54.9%

68 points played in total.

H2H Petr Vicherek 27–29 Antonin Baros Petr Vicherek has won 27 of their 56 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vicherek

Vicherek 1.73/Baros 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54.9%

Vicherek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Vicherek won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:57

54.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.0pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Vicherek

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

27-29 in 56

Baros

Wrong

gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vicherek 1654 vs Baros 1566

Vicherek

Correct

both rated, 88 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vicherek 40% vs Baros 0%

Vicherek

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vicherek 50% vs Baros 20%

Vicherek

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vicherek -1 · Baros -5

Baros

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Vicherek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Baros: form 0%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVicherek 1.727 / Baros 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Vicherek)-3.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVicherek4wins

AwayBaros6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderBaros leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVicherekn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayBaros62.5%5 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vicherek2Baros8n = 10Baros took 8 of 10

S2Vicherek5Baros5n = 10split evenly

S3Vicherek9Baros1n = 10Vicherek took 9 of 10

S4Vicherek4Baros5n = 9Baros took 5 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVicherekBarosV − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.9+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVicherekBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 380 vs 194 / 42246.8%46%178 / 380 vs 194 / 422Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match

TT Cup · #13283709

Vicherek1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite52% won 38 of 73

Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34

Baros2.00

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog37% won 53 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45

Petr Vicherek vs Antonin Baros 3-0 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Petr Vicherek vs Antonin Baros 3-0 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.