Adam Kral vs Martin Dvorak 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 5 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Adam Kral

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

119119511119––

Martin Dvorak

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Adam Kral to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingAdam Kral above · Martin Dvorak below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 76 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Adam Kral at 54.0%

76 points played in total.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kral

Kral 1.67/Dvorak 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Kral · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kral won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:40

54.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 6.0pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Kral

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kral 1450 vs Dvorak 1517

Dvorak

Wrong

both rated, 67 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kral 40% vs Dvorak 80%

Dvorak

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kral 30% vs Dvorak 70%

Dvorak

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kral +1 · Dvorak +3

Dvorak

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kral) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dvorak: form 80%, the price implies 48%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKral 1.666 / Dvorak 2.10

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Kral)-6.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKralDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 791 vs 112 / 22951.3%48.9%406 / 791 vs 112 / 229Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.537.2per match

TT Cup · #13283696

Kral1.67

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite58% won 50 of 87

Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23

Up 1–0, closes it69% 35 of 51

Dvorak2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 196 days ago (Mar 30) · back after a break

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Adam Kral vs Martin Dvorak 3-1 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Adam Kral vs Martin Dvorak 3-1 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.