Dmytro Zeniuk vs Vasily Verbyany 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Dmytro Zeniuk

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

8111151412211711

Vasily Verbyany

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%

Graded at full time

Dmytro Zeniuk to win

60.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Vasily Verbyany below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 14-12

Set 4 · 2-11

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 92 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Dmytro Zeniuk at 60.1%

92 points played in total.

H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 45–56 Vasily Verbyany Dmytro Zeniuk has won 45 of their 101 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2SplitHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Zeniuk

Zeniuk 1.61/Verbyany 2.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.1%

Zeniuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Verbyany won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 13:55

60.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.8pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Zeniuk

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

45-56 in 101

Verbyany

Correct

gap of 11 in 101, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zeniuk 2101 vs Verbyany 1945

Zeniuk

Wrong

both rated, 156 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zeniuk 80% vs Verbyany 40%

Zeniuk

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zeniuk 80% vs Verbyany 30%

Zeniuk

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zeniuk +3 · Verbyany -1

Zeniuk

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Zeniuk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zeniuk: form 80%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZeniuk 1.615 / Verbyany 2.20

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Zeniuk)-1.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZeniuk8wins

AwayVerbyany2wins

1 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZeniuk100%8 of 8

AwayVerbyanyn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zeniuk8Verbyany2n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10

S2Zeniuk6Verbyany4n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10

S3Zeniuk7Verbyany3n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10

S4Zeniuk3Verbyany2n = 5Zeniuk took 3 of 5

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricZeniukVerbyanyZ − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.930.8+5.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZeniukVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 707 vs 351 / 83349.4%42.1%349 / 707 vs 351 / 833Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match

Setka Cup · #13281827

Zeniuk1.61

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite62% won 108 of 173

Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63

Up 1–0, closes it83% 84 of 101

Verbyany2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog37% won 81 of 218

Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 130

Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72

Dmytro Zeniuk vs Vasily Verbyany 2-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dmytro Zeniuk vs Vasily Verbyany 2-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.