Ladislav Hendrych vs Martin Drabek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Ladislav Hendrych

Home

1.44

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711711116711––

Martin Drabek

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched: 64.9% is still 64.9%

Graded at full time

Ladislav Hendrych to win

64.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingLadislav Hendrych above · Martin Drabek below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 71 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Ladislav Hendrych at 64.9%

71 points played in total.

H2H Ladislav Hendrych 5–3 Martin Drabek Martin Drabek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 5–3Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hendrych

Hendrych 1.44/Drabek 2.63

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

64.9%

Hendrych · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Drabek won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:26

64.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 4.4pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Hendrych

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

5-3 in 8

Hendrych

Wrong

gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Hendrych 1447 vs Drabek 1385

Hendrych

Wrong

both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hendrych 0% vs Drabek 60%

Drabek

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hendrych 30% vs Drabek 50%

Drabek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Hendrych -5 · Drabek -1

Hendrych

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Hendrych) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Drabek: form 60%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHendrych 1.444 / Drabek 2.625

Signal prob.65% / 35%

Edge (Hendrych)-4.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeHendrych5wins

AwayDrabek3wins

3 of 8 to a deciderHendrych leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHendrych66.7%4 of 6

AwayDrabekn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hendrych6Drabek2n = 8Hendrych took 6 of 8

S2Hendrych6Drabek2n = 8Hendrych took 6 of 8

S3Hendrych4Drabek4n = 8split evenly

S4Hendrych3Drabek3n = 6split evenly

S5Hendrych1Drabek2n = 3Drabek took 2 of 3

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home225%

3–1Four sets, home225%

3–2Decider, home113%

2–3Decider, away225%

1–3Four sets, away113%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 8 meetings

MetricHendrychDrabekH − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.837.8+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHendrychDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 373 vs 46 / 12752.6%36.2%196 / 373 vs 46 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match

Setka Cup · #13281639

Hendrych1.44

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite62% won 58 of 93

Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30

Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52

Drabek2.63

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog47% won 15 of 32

Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14

Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8

Ladislav Hendrych vs Martin Drabek 1-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Ladislav Hendrych vs Martin Drabek 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.