Artem Yurkov vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Artem Yurkov

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

117511119119––

Andrii Hrabskyi

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%

Graded at full time

Artem Yurkov to win

56.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Andrii Hrabskyi below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 74 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Artem Yurkov at 56.9%

74 points played in total.

H2H Artem Yurkov 59–48 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 48 of their 107 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Yurkov

Yurkov 1.73/Hrabskyi 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.9%

Yurkov · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Yurkov won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 18:21

56.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 1.0pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Yurkov

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

59-48 in 107

Yurkov

Correct

gap of 11 in 107, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Yurkov 1721 vs Hrabskyi 1622

Yurkov

Correct

both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Yurkov 20% vs Hrabskyi 60%

Hrabskyi

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Yurkov 50% vs Hrabskyi 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Yurkov -1 · Hrabskyi +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Yurkov) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Yurkov: form 20%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsYurkov 1.727 / Hrabskyi 2.00

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Yurkov)-1.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeYurkov6wins

AwayHrabskyi4wins

6 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeYurkov60%3 of 5

AwayHrabskyi40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Yurkov5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly

S2Yurkov5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly

S3Yurkov8Hrabskyi2n = 10Yurkov took 8 of 10

S4Yurkov4Hrabskyi5n = 9Hrabskyi took 5 of 9

S5Yurkov3Hrabskyi3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricYurkovHrabskyiY − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.845.4+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricYurkovHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime564 / 951 vs 255 / 59259.3%43.1%564 / 951 vs 255 / 592Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.839.1per match

Setka Cup · #13281538

Yurkov1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite60% won 183 of 307

Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77

Up 1–0, closes it74% 122 of 164

Hrabskyi2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog36% won 95 of 261

Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 154

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83

Artem Yurkov vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Artem Yurkov vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.