Andrii Kotiash vs Volodymyr Korobko 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Andrii Kotiash

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 5

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

117411611911––

Volodymyr Korobko

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Volodymyr Korobko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Volodymyr Korobko below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 70 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Volodymyr Korobko at 54.0%

70 points played in total.

H2H Andrii Kotiash 2–1 Volodymyr Korobko Volodymyr Korobko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 2–1Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Korobko

Kotiash 1.91/Korobko 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Korobko · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Korobko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:57

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Korobko

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

2-1 in 3

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kotiash 1451 vs Korobko 1529

Korobko

Correct

both rated, 78 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kotiash 0% vs Korobko 80%

Korobko

Correct

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kotiash 40% vs Korobko 60%

Korobko

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kotiash -5 · Korobko -1

Kotiash

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Korobko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Korobko: form 80%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKotiash 1.909 / Korobko 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Korobko)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeKotiash2wins

AwayKorobko1wins

2 of 3 to a deciderKotiash leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kotiash1Korobko2n = 3Korobko took 2 of 3

S2Kotiash2Korobko1n = 3Kotiash took 2 of 3

S3Kotiash3Korobko0n = 3Kotiash took 3 of 3

S4Kotiash1Korobko2n = 3Korobko took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home133%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away133%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricKotiashKorobkoKotiash − KorobkoBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.346.3−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKotiashKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 472 vs 211 / 46947%45%222 / 472 vs 211 / 469Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.8per match

Setka Cup · #13281071

Kotiash1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog39% won 56 of 145

Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91

Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 58

Korobko1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite49% won 37 of 76

Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37

Andrii Kotiash vs Volodymyr Korobko 1-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Andrii Kotiash vs Volodymyr Korobko 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.