Patryk Mecik vs Krzysztof Schaniel 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna

Played Oct 12Finished

Patryk Mecik

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

12108111012115411

Krzysztof Schaniel

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched: 63.1% is still 63.1%

Graded at full time

Krzysztof Schaniel to win

63.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

94 points played in total.

Set by set

12108111012115411

H2H Patryk Mecik 8–18 Krzysztof Schaniel Patryk Mecik has won 8 of their 26 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Schaniel

Mecik 2.20/Schaniel 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

63.1%

Schaniel · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Schaniel won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 06:18

63.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.57

short by 0.6pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.57 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (58%)

Schaniel

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

8-18 in 26

Schaniel

Correct

gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Mecik 1233 vs Schaniel 1305

Schaniel

Correct

both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Mecik 40% vs Schaniel 20%

Mecik

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Mecik 40% vs Schaniel 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Mecik -1 · Schaniel -4

Schaniel

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Schaniel) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Schaniel: form 20%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMecik 2.20 / Schaniel 1.57

Signal prob.37% / 63%

Edge (Schaniel)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMecik4wins

AwaySchaniel6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMecik42.9%3 of 7

AwaySchaniel66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mecik7Schaniel3n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10

S2Mecik5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly

S3Mecik0Schaniel10n = 10Schaniel took 10 of 10

S4Mecik3Schaniel6n = 9Schaniel took 6 of 9

S5Mecik3Schaniel1n = 4Mecik took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMecikSchanielM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.445.3−3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMecikSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 790 vs 860 / 174439.4%49.3%311 / 790 vs 860 / 1744Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13280707

Mecik2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog37% won 103 of 276

Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 160

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 85

Schaniel1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite58% won 202 of 347

Up 2–0, closes it90% 94 of 104

Up 1–0, closes it75% 146 of 196

Patryk Mecik vs Krzysztof Schaniel 2-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Patryk Mecik vs Krzysztof Schaniel 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.