TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Oracz vs Krzysztof Schaniel 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115113––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched: 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
46 points played in total.
Set by set
115115113––––
H2H Michal Oracz 8–1 Krzysztof Schaniel Krzysztof Schaniel has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:0969.2%Our read69.4%to break even at 1.44
short by 0.2pp69.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.44 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Oracz
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1500 vs Schaniel 1321
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 80% vs Schaniel 60%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 90% vs Schaniel 40%
Oracz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +4 · Schaniel +1
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Oracz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.44 / Schaniel 2.60
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Oracz)-0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13279709
Oracz1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 108 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it81% 86 of 106
Schaniel2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 175 of 411
Down 0–1, comes back29% 64 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back12% 14 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOracz8wins
AwaySchaniel1wins
1 of 9 to a deciderOracz leads 8–1, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz100%5 of 5
AwaySchaniel25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Schaniel4n = 9Oracz took 5 of 9
S2Oracz6Schaniel3n = 9Oracz took 6 of 9
S3Oracz8Schaniel1n = 9Oracz took 8 of 9
S4Oracz4Schaniel1n = 5Oracz took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricOraczSchanielO − SBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.432.3+6.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 529 vs 858 / 173861.6%49.4%326 / 529 vs 858 / 1738Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.44/Schaniel 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 11 · 05:30M. Oracz341211113K. Schaniel2610970
WFeb 14 · 17:40M. Oracz4691311133K. Schaniel3911116111
WFeb 14 · 11:40M. Oracz331111113K. Schaniel196580
WMar 26 · 13:20M. Oracz331111113K. Schaniel238960
WMar 26 · 09:20M. Oracz531181211113K. Schaniel48511101392
LFeb 12 · 14:10M. Oracz206950K. Schaniel331111113
WFeb 12 · 06:30M. Oracz4361212133K. Schaniel42111010111
WJan 22 · 17:20M. Oracz4111811113K. Schaniel25211481
WJan 22 · 07:45M. Oracz43101111113K. Schaniel36127891
M. Oracz10
WOct 11 · 12:20S. Sojka2.0081060M. Oracz1.711112113WOct 11 · 11:05M. Oracz1.9881111113S. Szostok1.73114681WOct 11 · 09:30M. Oracz1.81111011113W. Wojtaszczyk1.90912861WOct 11 · 08:20M. Oracz1.83131111113S. Sojka1.871161381LOct 11 · 06:45M. Oracz1.35871191R. Wojcik3.0011113113WOct 11 · 05:30M. Oracz1.751211113K. Schaniel1.9510970WOct 10 · 16:20D. Morawiec2.0010660M. Oracz1.711211113WOct 10 · 15:30A. Cichocki2.00129110M. Oracz1.701411133WOct 10 · 14:45M. Oracz1.737101211113P. Gumulinski2.00111210492WOct 10 · 13:10M. Oracz1.351111143W. Buczynski2.9038120
K. Schaniel10
WOct 11 · 11:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.97131311111K. Schaniel1.7515157133LOct 11 · 10:40S. Sojka1.5581111143K. Schaniel2.251186121WOct 11 · 09:55S. Szostok1.821011981K. Schaniel1.8912811113WOct 11 · 07:55R. Wojcik1.9011361172K. Schaniel1.80911118113LOct 11 · 07:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.301111133K. Schaniel2.9379110LOct 11 · 05:30M. Oracz1.751211113K. Schaniel1.9510970LOct 10 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.9151291182K. Juszczyk1.801110118113LOct 10 · 00:35K. Schaniel2.6391111892O. Jadach1.44115911113LOct 9 · 23:20K. Schaniel1.1461111552R. Adach5.00114611113WOct 9 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7579130K. Schaniel1.401111153
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz
Nothing scheduled
K. Schaniel
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.