Marek Sedlak vs Tomas Dousa 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Marek Sedlak

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

911811911––––

Tomas Dousa

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched: 63.9% is still 63.9%

Graded at full time

Marek Sedlak to win

63.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMarek Sedlak above · Tomas Dousa below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 59 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Marek Sedlak at 63.9%

59 points played in total.

H2H Marek Sedlak 5–2 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 2 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 5–2Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sedlak

Sedlak 1.44/Dousa 2.63

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

63.9%

Sedlak · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Dousa won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:56

63.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 5.4pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Sedlak

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

5-2 in 7

Sedlak

Wrong

gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sedlak 1507 vs Dousa 1566

Dousa

Correct

both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sedlak 100% vs Dousa 60%

Sedlak

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sedlak 70% vs Dousa 80%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Sedlak +5 · Dousa -1

Sedlak

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Sedlak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dousa: form 60%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSedlak 1.444 / Dousa 2.625

Signal prob.64% / 36%

Edge (Sedlak)-5.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeSedlak5wins

AwayDousa2wins

1 of 7 to a deciderSedlak leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSedlak100%4 of 4

AwayDousa66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sedlak4Dousa3n = 7Sedlak took 4 of 7

S2Sedlak3Dousa4n = 7Dousa took 4 of 7

S3Sedlak5Dousa2n = 7Sedlak took 5 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home343%

3–1Four sets, home114%

3–2Decider, home114%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away229%

These 7 meetings

MetricSedlakDousaS − DBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match33.931.3+2.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSedlakDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 132 vs 357 / 71547.7%49.9%63 / 132 vs 357 / 715Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.4per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280294

Sedlak1.44

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite42% won 14 of 33

Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13

Dousa2.63

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog44% won 37 of 85

Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 47

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23

Marek Sedlak vs Tomas Dousa 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Marek Sedlak vs Tomas Dousa 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.