Kyryl Darin vs Petr Zmuda 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec

Played Oct 13Finished

Kyryl Darin

Home

3.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

7115111191113––

Petr Zmuda

Away

1.29

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:20 and never touched: 77.5% is still 77.5%

Graded at full time

Petr Zmuda to win

77.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Petr Zmuda below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-13

Point 78 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Petr Zmuda at 77.5%

78 points played in total.

H2H Kyryl Darin 1–5 Petr Zmuda Kyryl Darin has won 1 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 1–5Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Zmuda

Darin 3.50/Zmuda 1.28

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

77.5%

Zmuda · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Zmuda won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:20

77.5%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285

short by 0.3pp

77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.28 (73%)

Zmuda

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-5 in 6

Zmuda

Correct

gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Darin 1495 vs Zmuda 1614

Zmuda

Correct

both rated, 119 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Darin 20% vs Zmuda 60%

Zmuda

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Darin 30% vs Zmuda 70%

Zmuda

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Darin +1 · Zmuda +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Zmuda) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zmuda: form 60%, the price implies 78%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDarin 3.50 / Zmuda 1.285

Signal prob.23% / 78%

Edge (Zmuda)-0.3pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeDarin1wins

AwayZmuda5wins

1 of 6 to a deciderZmuda leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDarinn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayZmuda100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Darin1Zmuda5n = 6Zmuda took 5 of 6

S2Darin1Zmuda5n = 6Zmuda took 5 of 6

S3Darin3Zmuda3n = 6split evenly

S4Darin0Zmuda4n = 4Zmuda took 4 of 4

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home117%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away350%

0–3Straight, away233%

These 6 meetings

MetricDarinZmudaD − ZBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match33.338.8−5.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDarinZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime783 / 1584 vs 146 / 28149.4%52%783 / 1584 vs 146 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13279941

Darin3.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog42% won 175 of 420

Down 0–1, comes back19% 44 of 231

Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 143

Zmuda1.28

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite60% won 81 of 136

Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32

Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63

Kyryl Darin vs Petr Zmuda 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Kyryl Darin vs Petr Zmuda 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.