TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Veigl vs Radovan Pisa 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412811911113611
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Veigl above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Veigl 49–30 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 30 of their 79 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Pisa beat Veigl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeigl 1.666 / Pisa 2.10
Setka Cup · #13279556
Veigl1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 71 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Pisa2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 87 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back29% 30 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVeigl3wins
AwayPisa7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPisa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeigl40%2 of 5
AwayPisa80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veigl5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S2Veigl5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S3Veigl6Pisa4n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S4Veigl2Pisa7n = 9Pisa took 7 of 9
S5Veigl1Pisa3n = 4Pisa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeiglPisaV − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.840.9−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeiglPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 545 vs 384 / 79551%48.3%278 / 545 vs 384 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglVeigl 1.67/Pisa 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 11 · 11:45L. Veigl32811761R. Pisa4211911113
LOct 9 · 12:20L. Veigl45116115122R. Pisa51811711143
LOct 9 · 11:15L. Veigl34691181R. Pisa3811115113
WSep 27 · 19:45L. Veigl331111113R. Pisa159330
LSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl3910118101R. Pisa4212711123
WSep 8 · 09:30L. Veigl43117311113R. Pisa4281111932
LJul 23 · 06:15L. Veigl4111611942R. Pisa49711911113
LJul 22 · 08:58L. Veigl431191491R. Pisa4351116113
LJul 22 · 06:00L. Veigl5591117992R. Pisa521141511113
WJul 15 · 08:28L. Veigl43101111113R. Pisa35126981
L. Veigl10
LOct 11 · 11:45R. Pisa2.0011911113L. Veigl1.73811761LOct 11 · 10:45L. Svoboda1.731111113L. Veigl2.005680LOct 11 · 09:15O. Mezera2.2511911123L. Veigl1.577118101LOct 9 · 12:20L. Veigl1.61116115122R. Pisa2.20811711143LOct 9 · 11:15R. Pisa2.1011115113L. Veigl1.67691181WOct 9 · 10:45L. Veigl1.73111378113T. Liska2.00511111162WOct 9 · 09:45L. Veigl1.67811118123J. Dolezal2.10114411102LOct 6 · 16:44L. Veigl2.50114591J. Krames Sr1.5081111113LOct 6 · 15:45J. Krames Sr1.611111153L. Veigl2.2047130LOct 6 · 14:45M. Makara2.25125115113L. Veigl1.57101181182
R. Pisa10
WOct 11 · 11:45R. Pisa2.0011911113L. Veigl1.73811761LOct 11 · 10:15O. Mezera2.20481111113R. Pisa1.6111118482LOct 11 · 09:45L. Svoboda2.00111178113R. Pisa1.7384111192LOct 10 · 08:13L. Heinzl1.571211113R. Pisa2.2510890LOct 10 · 07:15R. Pisa2.007460L. Heinzl1.731111113LOct 10 · 06:15R. Pisa2.20711671M. Zelinka1.6111511113LOct 10 · 05:15R. Pisa1.834540L. Rulc1.831111113WOct 9 · 12:20L. Veigl1.61116115122R. Pisa2.20811711143WOct 9 · 11:15R. Pisa2.1011115113L. Veigl1.67691181LOct 9 · 10:15R. Pisa1.539780J. Dolezal2.381111113
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