TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Kadavy vs Vit Benak 2-3 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 2 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911411112116711
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Vit Benak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 83 set 5, 7-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 11–16 Vit Benak Ondrej Kadavy has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Benak beat Kadavy 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 2.00 / Benak 1.727
TT Cup · #13279119
Kadavy2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 34 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 27
Benak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite42% won 17 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it46% 11 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy4wins
AwayBenak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBenak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy75%3 of 4
AwayBenak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy4Benak6n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S2Kadavy4Benak6n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S3Kadavy5Benak5n = 10split evenly
S4Kadavy3Benak5n = 8Benak took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyBenakK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.3−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 349 vs 92 / 16657.9%55.4%202 / 349 vs 92 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BenakKadavy 2.00/Benak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 11 · 08:55O. Kadavy29471171V. Benak4111118113
LOct 4 · 06:55O. Kadavy361171081V. Benak4171112113
WOct 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy3811511113V. Benak31711581
LSep 27 · 12:25O. Kadavy339111121V. Benak4211611143
LAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy32911661V. Benak3811511113
LJul 26 · 11:55O. Kadavy238690V. Benak331111113
WJul 25 · 18:05O. Kadavy3711213113V. Benak368111161
WJul 25 · 14:55O. Kadavy331111113V. Benak207490
WJul 6 · 07:25O. Kadavy50891111113V. Benak4111117572
LNov 7 · 17:55O. Kadavy346116111V. Benak4011511133
O. Kadavy10
LOct 11 · 08:55O. Kadavy1.91471171V. Benak1.8011118113WOct 11 · 07:55O. Kadavy2.101112113T. Vorisek1.6791040WOct 11 · 06:55O. Kadavy1.731311123F. Strejc2.00118100LOct 9 · 17:59O. Kadavy1.9181171182F. Cernota1.80116117113WOct 9 · 16:55O. Kadavy2.00891111113M. Stusek1.7311118512LOct 9 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.83981181F. Cernota1.8311118113WOct 6 · 22:35O. Kadavy1.73111113113D. Bochnak2.00961571LOct 6 · 21:25M. Cerny3.0011711113O. Kadavy1.36711881WOct 6 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.73101111113D. Bochnak2.00126791WOct 6 · 18:55P. Vanek2.385770O. Kadavy1.531111113
V. Benak10
WOct 11 · 08:55O. Kadavy1.91471171V. Benak1.8011118113LOct 11 · 08:25F. Strejc2.10111579113V. Benak1.67713111142WOct 11 · 07:25V. Benak1.91911812123T. Vorisek1.801111110102LOct 10 · 10:05D. Jicha1.6111117113V. Benak2.20971191LOct 10 · 08:55V. Benak1.7397100F. Strejc2.001111123LOct 10 · 07:55V. Benak2.003970D. Jicha1.731111113WOct 10 · 06:55V. Benak1.911111113T. Vorisek1.809870WOct 9 · 18:30V. Benak1.481111113M. Stusek2.454650WOct 9 · 17:25F. Cernota1.8071240V. Benak1.911114113WOct 9 · 16:25V. Benak1.571111113M. Stusek2.257770
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