TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Myszewski vs Piotr Staniszewski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117117––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:20 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
117117117––––
H2H Adrian Myszewski 1–1 Piotr Staniszewski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:2054.0%Our read58.1%to break even at 1.72
short by 4.1pp58.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.72 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Myszewski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1331 vs Staniszewski 1336
Staniszewski
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 60% vs Staniszewski 40%
Myszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 30% vs Staniszewski 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski -1 · Staniszewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Myszewski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.72 / Staniszewski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Myszewski)-4.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13277826
Myszewski1.72
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it79% 71 of 90
Staniszewski2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMyszewski1wins
AwayStaniszewski1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMyszewskiStaniszewskiM − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.532.5+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiStaniszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 929 vs 392 / 83049.1%47.2%456 / 929 vs 392 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MyszewskiMyszewski 1.72/Staniszewski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Myszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WDec 28 · 05:10A. Myszewski3611113113P. Staniszewski24351151
LOct 12 · 04:30A. Myszewski371271171P. Staniszewski4114115113
A. Myszewski10
LOct 11 · 03:50W. Iwasyszyn2.061112153A. Myszewski1.69710130WOct 8 · 00:35A. Myszewski1.45811119113W. Suchecki2.5011771162WOct 7 · 23:45P. Krukar2.4011116562A. Myszewski1.50671111113WOct 7 · 22:35A. Myszewski1.801112113M. Trela1.9071070LOct 7 · 21:55B. Mrugala2.53411137133A. Myszewski1.461191111112LOct 7 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.171311113A. Myszewski4.5011560LOct 7 · 18:50K. Rudomina1.831012125113A. Myszewski1.831210101172LOct 7 · 18:05A. Myszewski2.505870P. Blocho1.501111113LOct 7 · 16:30A. Myszewski2.3891141182S. Brud1.53118117113LOct 7 · 15:45P. Perzynski1.441111113A. Myszewski2.636980
P. Staniszewski10
WOct 11 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.85118101172P. Staniszewski1.85811128113WOct 4 · 14:15K. Makowski2.0571111101P. Staniszewski1.6811138123LOct 4 · 13:25K. Szurlej1.061111113P. Staniszewski9.004750LOct 4 · 11:20M. Marchlewski1.551111113P. Staniszewski2.258690LOct 4 · 10:30P. Maruszak1.8611214113P. Staniszewski1.856111281LOct 4 · 09:00M. Zagajewski1.80119116113P. Staniszewski1.9171121122WOct 4 · 08:05P. Staniszewski1.801211711113K. Makowski1.8514911762LOct 4 · 06:25T. Piotrowski1.601111113P. Staniszewski2.207690LOct 4 · 05:35M. Marchlewski1.60111164113P. Staniszewski2.1576111182LOct 4 · 04:50P. Staniszewski2.10128991P. Maruszak1.65101111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Myszewski
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P. Staniszewski
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